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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 11
Groningen
Sparta Rotterdam
Euroborg

Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.22
84%
Confidence · High
GroningenDrawSparta Rotterdam
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS
Yes
65%
Correct score
2-1
8%
HT/FT
1/1
31%
Double chance
1X
84%
Avg goals
4.3
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Double chance : Groningen or draw and +1.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Groningen DWWLD, Sparta Rotterdam LLDWL (oldest to newest).
  • Groningen score 2.4 a game this season; Sparta Rotterdam score 1.7.

Match preview

Groningen host Sparta Rotterdam in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 11) on Sunday, 1 November 2026 at Euroborg.

Sparta Rotterdam have DLW (newest first; 1 win in their last 3).

In their last 5 meetings, Groningen won 1, Sparta Rotterdam won 4 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 84% confidence, priced at 1.22.

Quick answers

Who will win Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Our model gives Groningen 50%, the draw 34% and Sparta Rotterdam 16%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (84% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 65% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 65% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Groningen 2 - 1 Sparta Rotterdam. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 84% confidence at odds of 1.22.

When is Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Kick-off is Sunday, 1 November 2026, 15:45 UTC at Euroborg. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
GroningenSparta Rotterdam
Goals scored
0.01.7
Goals conceded
0.02.4

Model comparison

Percent
GroningenSparta Rotterdam
Form
67%33%
Attack
62%38%
Defence
63%38%
Poisson model
59%41%
Head to head
20%80%
Goals
23%77%
Overall
49%51%
Form, last 5 games
53%27%
Goals scored, last 5
13.08.0
Goals conceded, last 5
9.015.0
Goal forecast: Groningen Under 3.5, Sparta Rotterdam Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw