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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 11
PSV Eindhoven
Willem II
Philips Stadion

PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home Win
Odds1.08
68%
Confidence · Good
PSV EindhovenDrawWillem II
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
84%
BTTS
Yes
56%
Correct score
3-0
7%
HT/FT
1/1
62%
Double chance
1X
95%
Avg goals
4.2
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Winner : PSV Eindhoven and +1.5 goals.
  • Recent form: PSV Eindhoven WLWLD, Willem II LLLLL (oldest to newest).
  • PSV Eindhoven score 2.8 a game this season; Willem II score 1.0.

Match preview

PSV Eindhoven host Willem II in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 11) on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at Philips Stadion.

PSV Eindhoven come into the game with a form of DWLL (newest first; 1 win in their last 4), while Willem II have WLL (newest first; 1 win in their last 3).

This season PSV Eindhoven score 2.8 and concede 1.3 goals a game; Willem II score 1.0 and concede 3.2.

In their last 5 meetings, PSV Eindhoven won 3, Willem II won 1 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home Win with 68% confidence, priced at 1.08.

Quick answers

Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?

Our model gives PSV Eindhoven 68%, the draw 29% and Willem II 2%. Our tip is Home Win (68% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 56% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 84% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is PSV Eindhoven 3 - 0 Willem II. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 95% confidence at odds of 1.01.

When is PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?

Kick-off is Saturday, 31 October 2026, 17:45 UTC at Philips Stadion. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
PSV EindhovenWillem II
Goals scored
2.81.0
Goals conceded
1.33.2
Clean sheets
10%0%

Model comparison

Percent
PSV EindhovenWillem II
Form
100%0%
Attack
67%33%
Defence
72%28%
Poisson model
90%10%
Head to head
71%29%
Goals
67%33%
Overall
73%27%
Form, last 5 games
47%0%
Goals scored, last 5
10.05.0
Goals conceded, last 5
7.018.0
Goal forecast: PSV Eindhoven Under 4.5, Willem II Under 1.5