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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 11
Heerenveen
NEC Nijmegen
Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.36
80%
Confidence · High
HeerenveenDrawNEC Nijmegen
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS
Yes
71%
Correct score
1-1
8%
HT/FT
1/1
25%
Double chance
1X
80%
Avg goals
3.3
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Heerenveen or draw.
  • Recent form: Heerenveen DWLWW, NEC Nijmegen LDDDD (oldest to newest).
  • Heerenveen score 1.8 a game this season; NEC Nijmegen score 1.7.

Match preview

Heerenveen host NEC Nijmegen in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 11) on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at Abe Lenstra Stadion.

Heerenveen come into the game with a form of WWW (newest first; 3 wins in their last 3), while NEC Nijmegen have DWDD (newest first; 1 win in their last 4).

This season Heerenveen score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals a game; NEC Nijmegen score 1.7 and concede 1.8.

In their last 5 meetings, Heerenveen won 2, NEC Nijmegen won 2 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 80% confidence, priced at 1.36.

Quick answers

Who will win Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen?

Our model gives Heerenveen 45%, the draw 35% and NEC Nijmegen 20%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (80% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 71% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 70% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Heerenveen 1 - 1 NEC Nijmegen. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 80% confidence at odds of 1.36.

When is Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen?

Kick-off is Saturday, 31 October 2026, 17:45 UTC at Abe Lenstra Stadion. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
HeerenveenNEC Nijmegen
Goals scored
1.81.7
Goals conceded
1.31.8
Clean sheets
40%0%

Model comparison

Percent
HeerenveenNEC Nijmegen
Form
71%29%
Attack
65%35%
Defence
69%31%
Poisson model
55%45%
Head to head
50%50%
Goals
40%60%
Overall
58%42%
Form, last 5 games
67%27%
Goals scored, last 5
11.06.0
Goals conceded, last 5
4.09.0
Goal forecast: Heerenveen Under 2.5, NEC Nijmegen Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw

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