Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction, Odds & Tips
Our Prediction
- Model advice: Double chance : Ajax or draw.
- Recent form: Ajax WDDWW, AZ Alkmaar DWLDL (oldest to newest).
- Ajax score 2.9 a game this season; AZ Alkmaar score 2.0.
Match preview
Ajax host AZ Alkmaar in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 11) on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at Johan Cruijff Arena.
Ajax come into the game with a form of WWWL (newest first; 3 wins in their last 4), while AZ Alkmaar have LWDW (newest first; 2 wins in their last 4).
This season Ajax score 2.9 and concede 1.3 goals a game; AZ Alkmaar score 2.0 and concede 1.2.
In their last 5 meetings, Ajax won 0, AZ Alkmaar won 3 and 2 ended level.
Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 73% confidence, priced at 1.25.
Quick answers
Who will win Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar?
Our model gives Ajax 44%, the draw 29% and AZ Alkmaar 27%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (73% confidence).
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 66% confidence.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 67% confidence.
What is the predicted correct score?
Our most likely score is Ajax 2 - 1 AZ Alkmaar. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.
What is the safest bet?
Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 73% confidence at odds of 1.25.
When is Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar?
Kick-off is Saturday, 31 October 2026, 20:00 UTC at Johan Cruijff Arena. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.
Key stats
Model comparison
Ajax · last 4
AZ Alkmaar · last 4
Head to head
Best available odds
Eredivisie table
Line-ups
Line-ups are usually confirmed 1 hour before kick-off.
