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Serie A · Regular Season - 32
Vasco DA Gama
3 - 2Full time
Corinthians
São Januário · Referee: Wilton Sampaio

Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.17
86%
Confidence · High
Vasco DA GamaDrawCorinthians
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS
Yes
50%
Correct score
1-0
10%
HT/FT
1/1
32%
Double chance
1X
86%
Avg goals
2.5
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Vasco DA Gama or draw.
  • Recent form: Vasco DA Gama WWWDL, Corinthians LLLLD (oldest to newest).
  • Vasco DA Gama score 1.2 a game this season; Corinthians score 1.0.

Match preview

Vasco DA Gama host Corinthians in the Serie A (Regular Season - 32) on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at São Januário.

Vasco DA Gama come into the game with a form of LLW (newest first; 1 win in their last 3).

This season Vasco DA Gama score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals a game; Corinthians score 1.0 and concede 1.3.

In their last 5 meetings, Vasco DA Gama won 0, Corinthians won 4 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 86% confidence, priced at 1.17.

Quick answers

Who will win Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians?

Our model gives Vasco DA Gama 51%, the draw 35% and Corinthians 14%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (86% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 50% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 51% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Vasco DA Gama 1 - 0 Corinthians. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 86% confidence at odds of 1.17.

When is Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians?

Kick-off is Saturday, 24 October 2026, 21:30 UTC at São Januário. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 31'Rodrigo Garro
  2. Jose Luis Rodriguez35'
  3. Andrés Gómez ⇄ Marino Hinestroza37'
  4. 50'Gustavo HenriqueAssist: Breno Bidon
  5. 57'Matheus BiduAssist: Fabrizio Angileri
  6. 59'Dieguinho ⇄ Kaio César
  7. 67'Breno Bidon ⇄ Charles
  8. 67'Rodrigo Garro ⇄ Allan
  9. Santiago Sosa ⇄ Brenner67'
  10. Bruno Duarte Da Silva ⇄ David75'
  11. Facundo Colidio ⇄ Nuno Moreira75'
  12. Cuiabano ⇄ Lucas Piton75'
  13. 76'Yuri Alberto ⇄ Gui Negão
  14. 77'Matheus Bidu ⇄ Jesse Lingard
  15. 85'Fabrizio Angileri
  16. Marino Hinestroza88'
  17. Marino HinestrozaAssist: David90'
  18. Marino Hinestroza90+2'
  19. 90+6'Jesse Lingard

Match stats

Vasco DA GamaCorinthians
Possession
63%37%
Expected goals (xG)
1.790.77
Shots
2512
Shots on target
84
Corners
33
Fouls
1114
Offsides
23
Yellow cards
13
Red cards
00
Saves
25
Passes
526294