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Serie A · Regular Season - 32
Coritiba
Gremio
Estádio Couto Pereira · Referee: Ramon Abatti

Coritiba vs Gremio Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds1.73
73%
Confidence · Good
CoritibaDrawGremio
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS
Yes
55%
Correct score
1-1
11%
HT/FT
1/1
26%
Double chance
X2
73%
Avg goals
2.6
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : draw or Gremio.
  • Recent form: Coritiba DLLDL, Gremio LDDDL (oldest to newest).
  • Coritiba score 1.2 a game this season; Gremio score 1.1.

Match preview

Coritiba host Gremio in the Serie A (Regular Season - 32) on Monday, 26 October 2026 at Estádio Couto Pereira.

This season Coritiba score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals a game; Gremio score 1.1 and concede 1.4.

In their last 5 meetings, Coritiba won 0, Gremio won 4 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 73% confidence, priced at 1.73.

Quick answers

Who will win Coritiba vs Gremio?

Our model gives Coritiba 27%, the draw 37% and Gremio 36%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (73% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 55% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 51% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Coritiba 1 - 1 Gremio. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 73% confidence at odds of 1.73.

When is Coritiba vs Gremio?

Kick-off is Monday, 26 October 2026, 22:30 UTC at Estádio Couto Pereira. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
CoritibaGremio
Goals scored
1.21.1
Goals conceded
1.61.4
Clean sheets
19%19%

Model comparison

Percent
CoritibaGremio
Form
40%60%
Attack
40%60%
Defence
39%61%
Poisson model
66%34%
Head to head
7%93%
Goals
27%73%
Overall
37%64%
Form, last 5 games
13%20%
Goals scored, last 5
4.06.0
Goals conceded, last 5
14.09.0
Goal forecast: Coritiba Under 2.5, Gremio Under 1.5Model verdict: Win or draw