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Serie A · Regular Season - 32
Flamengo
Atletico-MG
Estádio do Maracanã · Referee: Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima

Flamengo vs Atletico-MG Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.06
90%
Confidence · High
FlamengoDrawAtletico-MG
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
No
52%
Correct score
2-0
10%
HT/FT
1/1
45%
Double chance
1X
90%
Avg goals
2.6
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Flamengo or draw.
  • Recent form: Flamengo WWDWW, Atletico-MG DWDWW (oldest to newest).
  • Flamengo score 2.0 a game this season; Atletico-MG score 1.4.

Match preview

Flamengo host Atletico-MG in the Serie A (Regular Season - 32) on Monday, 26 October 2026 at Estádio do Maracanã.

Flamengo come into the game with a form of DWD (newest first; 1 win in their last 3).

This season Flamengo score 2.0 and concede 0.8 goals a game; Atletico-MG score 1.4 and concede 1.1.

In their last 5 meetings, Flamengo won 3, Atletico-MG won 1 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 90% confidence, priced at 1.06.

Quick answers

Who will win Flamengo vs Atletico-MG?

Our model gives Flamengo 58%, the draw 32% and Atletico-MG 10%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 52% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 60% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Flamengo 2 - 0 Atletico-MG. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 90% confidence at odds of 1.06.

When is Flamengo vs Atletico-MG?

Kick-off is Monday, 26 October 2026, 23:00 UTC at Estádio do Maracanã. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
FlamengoAtletico-MG
Goals scored
2.01.4
Goals conceded
0.81.1
Clean sheets
45%26%

Model comparison

Percent
FlamengoAtletico-MG
Form
54%46%
Attack
59%41%
Defence
50%50%
Poisson model
72%28%
Head to head
62%38%
Goals
70%30%
Overall
61%39%
Form, last 5 games
87%73%
Goals scored, last 5
10.07.0
Goals conceded, last 5
4.04.0
Goal forecast: Flamengo Under 2.5, Atletico-MG Under 1.5Model verdict: Win or draw

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