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Serie A · Regular Season - 33
Santos
Palmeiras
Estadio Urbano Caldeira

Santos vs Palmeiras Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds1.36
79%
Confidence · Good
SantosDrawPalmeiras
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS
Yes
52%
Correct score
1-1
12%
HT/FT
2/2
22%
Double chance
X2
79%
Avg goals
2.7
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : draw or Palmeiras.
  • Recent form: Santos WWDLW, Palmeiras WDWWW (oldest to newest).
  • Santos score 1.5 a game this season; Palmeiras score 1.7.

Match preview

Santos host Palmeiras in the Serie A (Regular Season - 33) on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at Estadio Urbano Caldeira.

Palmeiras have WLWW (newest first; 3 wins in their last 4).

This season Santos score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals a game; Palmeiras score 1.7 and concede 0.7.

In their last 5 meetings, Santos won 1, Palmeiras won 2 and 2 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 79% confidence, priced at 1.36.

Quick answers

Who will win Santos vs Palmeiras?

Our model gives Santos 21%, the draw 37% and Palmeiras 42%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (79% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 52% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 54% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Santos 1 - 1 Palmeiras. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 79% confidence at odds of 1.36.

When is Santos vs Palmeiras?

Kick-off is Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 22:30 UTC at Estadio Urbano Caldeira. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
SantosPalmeiras
Goals scored
1.51.7
Goals conceded
1.50.7
Clean sheets
19%45%

Model comparison

Percent
SantosPalmeiras
Form
43%57%
Attack
50%50%
Defence
13%88%
Poisson model
28%72%
Head to head
38%62%
Goals
29%71%
Overall
34%67%
Form, last 5 games
67%87%
Goals scored, last 5
9.09.0
Goals conceded, last 5
7.01.0
Goal forecast: Santos Under 2.5, Palmeiras Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw