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League Cup · Round of 16
Sunderland
Brentford
Stadium of Light

Sunderland vs Brentford Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Away Win
Odds1.95
47%
Confidence · Fair
SunderlandDrawBrentford
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS
Yes
55%
Correct score
1-1
10%
HT/FT
2/2
27%
Double chance
X2
82%
Avg goals
3.0
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Winner : Brentford.
  • Recent form: Sunderland W, Brentford WW (oldest to newest).
  • Sunderland score 1.0 a game this season; Brentford score 4.0.

Match preview

Sunderland host Brentford in the League Cup (Round of 16) on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at Stadium of Light.

Sunderland come into the game with a form of DLW (newest first; 1 win in their last 3).

This season Sunderland score 0.9 and concede 2.0 goals a game; Brentford score 1.9 and concede 1.1.

In their last 5 meetings, Sunderland won 1, Brentford won 2 and 2 ended level.

Our model leans towards Away Win with 47% confidence, priced at 1.95.

Quick answers

Who will win Sunderland vs Brentford?

Our model gives Sunderland 18%, the draw 36% and Brentford 47%. Our tip is Away Win (47% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 55% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 53% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Sunderland 1 - 1 Brentford. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 82% confidence at odds of 1.28.

When is Sunderland vs Brentford?

Kick-off is Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 19:45 UTC at Stadium of Light. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
SunderlandBrentford
Goals scored
0.91.9
Goals conceded
2.01.1
Clean sheets
14%29%

Model comparison

Percent
SunderlandBrentford
Form
33%67%
Attack
11%89%
Defence
100%0%
Poisson model
100%0%
Head to head
38%62%
Goals
38%63%
Overall
30%70%
Form, last 5 games
100%100%
Goals scored, last 5
1.08.0
Goals conceded, last 5
0.02.0
Goal forecast: Sunderland Under 1.5, Brentford Under 4.5