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League Cup · Round of 16
Manchester City
Brighton
Etihad Stadium

Manchester City vs Brighton Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home Win
Odds1.62
51%
Confidence · Fair
Manchester CityDrawBrighton
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS
Yes
59%
Correct score
2-1
8%
HT/FT
1/1
34%
Double chance
1X
84%
Avg goals
5.0
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Winner : Manchester City and +2.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Manchester City W, Brighton W (oldest to newest).
  • Manchester City score 5.0 a game this season; Brighton score 3.0.

Match preview

Manchester City host Brighton in the League Cup (Round of 16) on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at Etihad Stadium.

Manchester City come into the game with a form of LWWL (newest first; 2 wins in their last 4), while Brighton have LDWW (newest first; 2 wins in their last 4).

This season Manchester City score 5.0 and concede 0.0 goals a game; Brighton score 3.0 and concede 2.0.

In their last 5 meetings, Manchester City won 1, Brighton won 2 and 2 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home Win with 51% confidence, priced at 1.62.

Quick answers

Who will win Manchester City vs Brighton?

Our model gives Manchester City 51%, the draw 33% and Brighton 16%. Our tip is Home Win (51% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 59% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 64% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Manchester City 2 - 1 Brighton. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 84% confidence at odds of 1.20.

When is Manchester City vs Brighton?

Kick-off is Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 19:30 UTC at Etihad Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
Manchester CityBrighton
Goals scored
5.03.0
Goals conceded
0.02.0
Clean sheets
100%0%

Model comparison

Percent
Manchester CityBrighton
Form
50%50%
Attack
63%38%
Defence
100%0%
Poisson model
100%0%
Head to head
38%62%
Goals
56%44%
Overall
52%49%
Form, last 5 games
100%100%
Goals scored, last 5
5.03.0
Goals conceded, last 5
0.02.0
Goal forecast: Manchester City Under 6.5, Brighton Under 3.5