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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 9
Sparta Rotterdam
3 - 2Full time
Willem II
Sparta Stadium Het Kasteel · Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk

Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.18
86%
Confidence · High
Sparta RotterdamDrawWillem II
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS
Yes
59%
Correct score
2-1
8%
HT/FT
1/1
36%
Double chance
1X
86%
Avg goals
4.0
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Sparta Rotterdam or draw.
  • Recent form: Sparta Rotterdam LDLLD, Willem II LDLLL (oldest to newest).
  • Sparta Rotterdam score 1.6 a game this season; Willem II score 0.9.

Match preview

Sparta Rotterdam host Willem II in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 9) on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Sparta Stadium Het Kasteel.

This season Sparta Rotterdam score 1.8 and concede 2.4 goals a game; Willem II score 1.0 and concede 2.9.

In their last 5 meetings, Sparta Rotterdam won 4, Willem II won 1 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 86% confidence, priced at 1.18.

Quick answers

Who will win Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II?

Our model gives Sparta Rotterdam 53%, the draw 33% and Willem II 14%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (86% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 59% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 64% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Sparta Rotterdam 2 - 1 Willem II. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 86% confidence at odds of 1.18.

When is Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II?

Kick-off is Saturday, 17 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Sparta Stadium Het Kasteel. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 17'Tonny Vilhena
  2. Jens Toornstra39'
  3. 41'Finn Stam
  4. Lushendry Martes50'
  5. Milan ZonneveldAssist: Jens Toornstra57'
  6. Rogier Meijer59'
  7. 66'Anass Zarrouk ⇄ Thomas Verheydt
  8. 66'Tonny Vilhena ⇄ Mats Lemmens
  9. 68'Uriël van AalstAssist: Vito van Crooy
  10. 70'Vito van Crooy
  11. Lushendry Martes70'
  12. Jens Toornstra ⇄ Alwande Benedict Roaldsøy74'
  13. 75'Thomas Verheydt
  14. Alwande Benedict Roaldsøy78'
  15. 81'Uriël van Aalst ⇄ Jari Schuurman
  16. 81'Jaden Slory ⇄ Chido Obi
  17. Cedric Hatenboer ⇄ Teo Quintero León83'
  18. Robin van Cruijsen ⇄ Mitchell Van Bergen83'
  19. Milan Zonneveld85'
  20. Bas Kuipers88'
  21. 88'Maxim Dekker ⇄ Eser Gürbüz
  22. 90+3'Chido Obi

Match stats

Sparta RotterdamWillem II
Possession
49%51%
Expected goals (xG)
3.461.24
Shots
2213
Shots on target
84
Corners
34
Fouls
1212
Yellow cards
44
Red cards
00
Saves
25
Passes
383395