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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 10
Sparta Rotterdam
1 - 2LIVE 59'
Ajax
Sparta Stadium Het Kasteel · Referee: Danny Makkelie

Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Away Win
Odds1.44
58%
Confidence · Fair
Sparta RotterdamDrawAjax
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
72%
BTTS
Yes
63%
Correct score
1-2
8%
HT/FT
2/2
40%
Double chance
X2
92%
Avg goals
4.3
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Winner : Ajax and +2.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Sparta Rotterdam DLLDW, Ajax WWDDW (oldest to newest).
  • Sparta Rotterdam score 1.8 a game this season; Ajax score 3.0.

Match preview

Sparta Rotterdam host Ajax in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 10) on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Sparta Stadium Het Kasteel.

Ajax have WWL (newest first; 2 wins in their last 3).

This season Sparta Rotterdam score 1.8 and concede 2.4 goals a game; Ajax score 3.0 and concede 1.3.

In their last 5 meetings, Sparta Rotterdam won 0, Ajax won 2 and 3 ended level.

Our model leans towards Away Win with 58% confidence, priced at 1.44.

Quick answers

Who will win Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax?

Our model gives Sparta Rotterdam 8%, the draw 34% and Ajax 58%. Our tip is Away Win (58% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 63% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 72% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Sparta Rotterdam 1 - 2 Ajax. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 92% confidence at odds of 1.12.

When is Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax?

Kick-off is Sunday, 25 October 2026, 15:45 UTC at Sparta Stadium Het Kasteel. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

Live
  1. 22'Abdellah OuazaneAssist: Julian Brandt
  2. Jens ToornstraAssist: Isaac Achmed Koroma Junior Babadi43'
  3. 45'Viktor Tsygankov ⇄ Davy Klaassen
  4. 45+1'Tolu ArokodareAssist: Julian Brandt
  5. Jens Toornstra ⇄ Mitchell Van Bergen56'

Match stats

Sparta RotterdamAjax
Possession
34%66%
Expected goals (xG)
0.231.01
Shots
312
Shots on target
23
Corners
03
Fouls
94
Offsides
10
Yellow cards
00
Red cards
00
Saves
11
Passes
232464