Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior Prediction, Odds & Tips
Home or Draw (1X)Odds1.44
Fortuna SittardDrawExcelsior
40%37%23%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
54%
Why we like it
- Model advice: Combo Double chance : Fortuna Sittard or draw and +1.5 goals.
- Recent form: Fortuna Sittard WLWDD, Excelsior DLDLL (oldest to newest).
- Fortuna Sittard score 1.8 a game this season; Excelsior score 1.8.
Match preview
Fortuna Sittard host Excelsior in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 10) on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Fortuna Sittard Stadion.
This season Fortuna Sittard score 1.8 and concede 1.9 goals a game; Excelsior score 1.8 and concede 2.0.
In their last 5 meetings, Fortuna Sittard won 2, Excelsior won 2 and 1 ended level.
Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 77% confidence, priced at 1.44.
Quick answers
Who will win Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior?
Our model gives Fortuna Sittard 40%, the draw 37% and Excelsior 23%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (77% confidence).
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 59% confidence.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 54% confidence.
What is the predicted correct score?
Our most likely score is Fortuna Sittard 1 - 1 Excelsior. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.
What is the safest bet?
Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 77% confidence at odds of 1.44.
When is Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior?
Kick-off is Sunday, 25 October 2026, 11:15 UTC at Fortuna Sittard Stadion. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.
Match events
- Sven Simons41'
- 45'Noah Naujoks ⇄ Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson⇄
- ⇄Sven Simons ⇄ Ole Romeny45'
- 56'Nesto groen ⇄ David Garden⇄
- Shiloh 't Zand58'
- ⇄Nick de Groot ⇄ Jasper Dahlhaus66'
- ⇄Kristoffer Peterson ⇄ Daley Sinkgraven66'
- 68'Irakli Yegoian
- 76'Aymen sliti ⇄ Alireza Jahanbakhsh⇄
- 76'Kasey Bos ⇄ Simon Janssen⇄
- ⇄Philip Brittijn ⇄ Mohammed Ihattaren82'
- ⇄Edouard Michut ⇄ Iván Márquez86'
- ●Rodrigo GuthAssist: Mohammed Ihattaren90+1'
Match stats
Fortuna SittardExcelsior
Expected goals (xG)
0.780.41
Key stats
Per game, this seasonFortuna SittardExcelsior
Model comparison
PercentFortuna SittardExcelsior
Goals scored, last 5
8.06.0
Goals conceded, last 5
10.015.0
Goal forecast: Fortuna Sittard Under 2.5, Excelsior Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw
Fortuna Sittard · last 1
0W 1D 0L18 OctANEC Nijmegen2-2D
Excelsior · last 1
0W 0D 1L16 OctAHeerenveen4-0L
Head to head
Last 8Feb 2026Fortuna Sittard2-1Excelsior
Oct 2025Excelsior1-0Fortuna Sittard
Mar 2024Fortuna Sittard5-2Excelsior
Aug 2023Excelsior2-2Fortuna Sittard
May 2023Excelsior3-0Fortuna Sittard
Sept 2022Fortuna Sittard1-0Excelsior
Feb 2019Fortuna Sittard4-1Excelsior
Aug 2018Excelsior1-1Fortuna Sittard
Best available odds
DecimalHT/FT
1/X13.00
1/223.00
X/26.50
X/X6.00
1/14.00
X/16.50
2/123.00
2/X13.00
2/24.33
Correct score
1-16.50
1-010.00
2-110.00
1-210.00
0-111.00
2-212.00
0-013.00
2-015.00
0-215.00
3-119.00
3-221.00
1-321.00
3-026.00
Highlighted = our pick. Odds change; check with the bookmaker before betting.
Confirmed line-ups
ConfirmedFortuna Sittard 4-3-3
31M. Branderhorst
12Ivo Pinto
3Rodrigo Guth
28Justin Quincy Hubner
15N. de Groot
23P. Brittijn
6S. van Ottele
20É. Michut
7K. Peterson
14S. Simons
22Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand
Excelsior 4-3-3
1S. van Gassel
3R. Meissen
4C. Widell
14J. Plug
12K. Bos
10N. Naujoks
20L. Hartjes
6D. van Vianen
7A. Sliti
28N. Groen
8I. Yegoian
Injuries and suspensions
Fortuna Sittard: I. Marquez, Injury, out
Fortuna Sittard: J. Dahlhaus, Inactive, doubtful
Fortuna Sittard: R. Bayram, Knee Injury, out
Fortuna Sittard: Y. Oukili, Groin Injury, out
