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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 10
AZ Alkmaar
Twente
AFAS Stadion(Alkmaar) · Referee: Alex Bos

AZ Alkmaar vs Twente Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.36
80%
Confidence · High
AZ AlkmaarDrawTwente
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS
Yes
65%
Correct score
1-1
9%
HT/FT
1/1
26%
Double chance
1X
80%
Avg goals
3.1
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : AZ Alkmaar or draw.
  • Recent form: AZ Alkmaar WDWLD, Twente WWWDL (oldest to newest).
  • AZ Alkmaar score 2.2 a game this season; Twente score 1.9.

Match preview

AZ Alkmaar host Twente in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 10) on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at AFAS Stadion(Alkmaar).

AZ Alkmaar come into the game with a form of WDW (newest first; 2 wins in their last 3), while Twente have WLW (newest first; 2 wins in their last 3).

This season AZ Alkmaar score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals a game; Twente score 1.9 and concede 1.1.

In their last 5 meetings, AZ Alkmaar won 3, Twente won 1 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 80% confidence, priced at 1.36.

Quick answers

Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs Twente?

Our model gives AZ Alkmaar 45%, the draw 35% and Twente 20%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (80% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 65% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 63% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is AZ Alkmaar 1 - 1 Twente. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 80% confidence at odds of 1.36.

When is AZ Alkmaar vs Twente?

Kick-off is Sunday, 25 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at AFAS Stadion(Alkmaar). The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
AZ AlkmaarTwente
Goals scored
2.21.9
Goals conceded
1.11.1
Clean sheets
33%22%

Model comparison

Percent
AZ AlkmaarTwente
Form
44%56%
Attack
47%53%
Defence
42%58%
Poisson model
71%29%
Head to head
71%29%
Goals
56%44%
Overall
55%45%
Form, last 5 games
53%67%
Goals scored, last 5
7.08.0
Goals conceded, last 5
7.05.0
Goal forecast: AZ Alkmaar Under 2.5, Twente Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw