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Serie A · Regular Season - 32
Santos
1 - 1Full time
Bahia
Estádio Urbano Caldeira · Referee: Savio Pereira Sampaio

Santos vs Bahia Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.22
83%
Confidence · High
SantosDrawBahia
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS
Yes
63%
Correct score
1-1
9%
HT/FT
1/1
29%
Double chance
1X
83%
Avg goals
2.9
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Santos or draw.
  • Recent form: Santos WWDLW, Bahia WLLWL (oldest to newest).
  • Santos score 1.5 a game this season; Bahia score 1.4.

Match preview

Santos host Bahia in the Serie A (Regular Season - 32) on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Estádio Urbano Caldeira.

This season Santos score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals a game; Bahia score 1.4 and concede 1.3.

In their last 5 meetings, Santos won 1, Bahia won 1 and 3 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 83% confidence, priced at 1.22.

Quick answers

Who will win Santos vs Bahia?

Our model gives Santos 49%, the draw 35% and Bahia 17%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (83% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 63% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 61% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Santos 1 - 1 Bahia. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 83% confidence at odds of 1.22.

When is Santos vs Bahia?

Kick-off is Sunday, 25 October 2026, 00:00 UTC at Estádio Urbano Caldeira. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. Neymar da Silva Santos Júnior31'
  2. 39'Luciano
  3. 44'Nicolas Acevedo
  4. Neymar da Silva Santos Júnior45'
  5. Gabriel Bontempo ⇄ João Schmidt45'
  6. Philippe Coutinho ⇄ Rony45'
  7. 50'Kanu
  8. 57'Kanu ⇄ Marco Moreno
  9. 57'Nicolas Acevedo ⇄ Michel Araujo
  10. 67'Rodrigo Nestor ⇄ Wendel Silva Passos
  11. Everton ⇄ Benjamín Rollheiser70'
  12. Álvaro Barreal ⇄ Rafael Gonzaga70'
  13. 79'Marcos Victor ⇄ Zé Guilherme
  14. 79'erick pulga ⇄ Ruan Pablo Barbosa Sousa
  15. Rodinei ⇄ Gustavo Caballero87'
  16. João Schmidt89'
  17. Luan PeresAssist: Benjamín Rollheiser90+3'

Match stats

SantosBahia
Possession
56%44%
Expected goals (xG)
2.101.49
Shots
2316
Shots on target
112
Corners
148
Fouls
1323
Offsides
22
Yellow cards
22
Red cards
10
Saves
010
Passes
303245