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USL Championship · Round of 16
New Mexico United
Phoenix Rising
Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park

New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds–
90%
Confidence · High
New Mexico UnitedDrawPhoenix Rising
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS
Yes
57%
Correct score
2-1
8%
HT/FT
1/1
28%
Double chance
1X
90%
Avg goals
2.8
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : New Mexico United or draw.
  • Recent form: New Mexico United LWWLW, Phoenix Rising LLWWD (oldest to newest).
  • New Mexico United score 1.5 a game this season; Phoenix Rising score 1.5.

Match preview

New Mexico United host Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship (Round of 16) on Sunday, 1 November 2026 at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park.

This season New Mexico United score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals a game; Phoenix Rising score 1.5 and concede 1.5.

In their last 5 meetings, New Mexico United won 3, Phoenix Rising won 1 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 90% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising?

Our model gives New Mexico United 45%, the draw 45% and Phoenix Rising 10%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 57% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 53% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is New Mexico United 2 - 1 Phoenix Rising. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 90% confidence.

When is New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising?

Kick-off is Sunday, 1 November 2026, 23:00 UTC at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
New Mexico UnitedPhoenix Rising
Goals scored
1.51.5
Goals conceded
1.11.5
Clean sheets
30%17%

Model comparison

Percent
New Mexico UnitedPhoenix Rising
Form
56%44%
Attack
38%63%
Defence
73%27%
Poisson model
63%37%
Head to head
71%29%
Goals
59%41%
Overall
60%40%
Form, last 5 games
60%47%
Goals scored, last 5
6.010.0
Goals conceded, last 5
4.011.0
Goal forecast: New Mexico United Under 2.5, Phoenix Rising Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw