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USL Championship · Round of 16
Louisville City
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Lynn Family Stadium

Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.17
85%
Confidence · High
Louisville CityDrawPittsburgh Riverhounds
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS
No
51%
Correct score
1-0
11%
HT/FT
1/1
31%
Double chance
1X
85%
Avg goals
2.6
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Louisville City or draw.
  • Recent form: Louisville City DWWWD, Pittsburgh Riverhounds LLWDW (oldest to newest).
  • Louisville City score 1.7 a game this season; Pittsburgh Riverhounds score 1.1.

Match preview

Louisville City host Pittsburgh Riverhounds in the USL Championship (Round of 16) on Friday, 30 October 2026 at Lynn Family Stadium.

This season Louisville City score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals a game; Pittsburgh Riverhounds score 1.1 and concede 1.0.

In their last 5 meetings, Louisville City won 2, Pittsburgh Riverhounds won 2 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 85% confidence, priced at 1.17.

Quick answers

Who will win Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

Our model gives Louisville City 50%, the draw 35% and Pittsburgh Riverhounds 15%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (85% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 51% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 51% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Louisville City 1 - 0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 85% confidence at odds of 1.17.

When is Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

Kick-off is Friday, 30 October 2026, 22:30 UTC at Lynn Family Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
Louisville CityPittsburgh Riverhounds
Goals scored
1.71.1
Goals conceded
1.41.0
Clean sheets
27%30%

Model comparison

Percent
Louisville CityPittsburgh Riverhounds
Form
61%39%
Attack
67%33%
Defence
63%38%
Poisson model
57%43%
Head to head
50%50%
Goals
44%56%
Overall
57%43%
Form, last 5 games
73%47%
Goals scored, last 5
10.05.0
Goals conceded, last 5
3.05.0
Goal forecast: Louisville City Under 2.5, Pittsburgh Riverhounds Under 1.5Model verdict: Win or draw