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USL Championship · Round of 16
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Miami FC
Al Lang Stadium

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds–
89%
Confidence · High
Tampa Bay RowdiesDrawMiami FC
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS
Yes
51%
Correct score
2-0
9%
HT/FT
1/1
45%
Double chance
1X
89%
Avg goals
2.8
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Tampa Bay Rowdies or draw.
  • Recent form: Tampa Bay Rowdies DLWWW, Miami FC WWWLL (oldest to newest).
  • Tampa Bay Rowdies score 1.7 a game this season; Miami FC score 1.3.

Match preview

Tampa Bay Rowdies host Miami FC in the USL Championship (Round of 16) on Friday, 30 October 2026 at Al Lang Stadium.

This season Tampa Bay Rowdies score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals a game; Miami FC score 1.3 and concede 1.6.

In their last 5 meetings, Tampa Bay Rowdies won 3, Miami FC won 1 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 89% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC?

Our model gives Tampa Bay Rowdies 57%, the draw 33% and Miami FC 11%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (89% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 51% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 63% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Tampa Bay Rowdies 2 - 0 Miami FC. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 89% confidence.

When is Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC?

Kick-off is Friday, 30 October 2026, 23:30 UTC at Al Lang Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
Tampa Bay RowdiesMiami FC
Goals scored
1.71.3
Goals conceded
0.91.6
Clean sheets
53%23%

Model comparison

Percent
Tampa Bay RowdiesMiami FC
Form
53%47%
Attack
44%56%
Defence
67%33%
Poisson model
72%28%
Head to head
71%29%
Goals
59%41%
Overall
61%39%
Form, last 5 games
67%60%
Goals scored, last 5
7.09.0
Goals conceded, last 5
3.06.0
Goal forecast: Tampa Bay Rowdies Under 2.5, Miami FC Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw