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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 10
Moreirense
Estrela
Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas

Moreirense vs Estrela Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.53
75%
Confidence · Good
MoreirenseDrawEstrela
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS
Yes
53%
Correct score
1-1
11%
HT/FT
2/2
21%
Double chance
1X
75%
Avg goals
3.3
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Moreirense or draw.
  • Recent form: Moreirense LWDLW, Estrela WDLLL (oldest to newest).
  • Moreirense score 1.2 a game this season; Estrela score 1.6.

Match preview

Moreirense host Estrela in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 10) on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas.

This season Moreirense score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals a game; Estrela score 1.6 and concede 1.9.

In their last 5 meetings, Moreirense won 1, Estrela won 1 and 3 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 75% confidence, priced at 1.53.

Quick answers

Who will win Moreirense vs Estrela?

Our model gives Moreirense 39%, the draw 37% and Estrela 25%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (75% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 53% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 51% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Moreirense 1 - 1 Estrela. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 75% confidence at odds of 1.53.

When is Moreirense vs Estrela?

Kick-off is Saturday, 31 October 2026, 15:30 UTC at Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
MoreirenseEstrela
Goals scored
1.21.6
Goals conceded
1.81.9
Clean sheets
11%0%

Model comparison

Percent
MoreirenseEstrela
Form
64%36%
Attack
58%42%
Defence
53%47%
Poisson model
42%58%
Head to head
50%50%
Goals
50%50%
Overall
53%47%
Form, last 5 games
47%27%
Goals scored, last 5
7.05.0
Goals conceded, last 5
8.09.0
Goal forecast: Moreirense Under 2.5, Estrela Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw