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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 10
Casa Pia
Sporting CP
Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior

Casa Pia vs Sporting CP Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Away Win
Odds1.27
59%
Confidence · Fair
Casa PiaDrawSporting CP
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
No
53%
Correct score
0-2
11%
HT/FT
2/2
46%
Double chance
X2
90%
Avg goals
3.0
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Winner : Sporting CP.
  • Recent form: Casa Pia DLWLW, Sporting CP WDDWL (oldest to newest).
  • Casa Pia score 0.6 a game this season; Sporting CP score 2.3.

Match preview

Casa Pia host Sporting CP in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 10) on Friday, 30 October 2026 at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior.

Sporting CP have WLW (newest first; 2 wins in their last 3).

This season Casa Pia score 0.6 and concede 1.9 goals a game; Sporting CP score 2.3 and concede 1.2.

In their last 5 meetings, Casa Pia won 0, Sporting CP won 5 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Away Win with 59% confidence, priced at 1.27.

Quick answers

Who will win Casa Pia vs Sporting CP?

Our model gives Casa Pia 10%, the draw 31% and Sporting CP 59%. Our tip is Away Win (59% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 53% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 60% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Casa Pia 0 - 2 Sporting CP. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 90% confidence at odds of 1.06.

When is Casa Pia vs Sporting CP?

Kick-off is Friday, 30 October 2026, 20:15 UTC at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
Casa PiaSporting CP
Goals scored
0.62.3
Goals conceded
1.91.2
Clean sheets
22%22%

Model comparison

Percent
Casa PiaSporting CP
Form
47%53%
Attack
36%64%
Defence
50%50%
Poisson model
3%97%
Head to head
0%100%
Goals
5%95%
Overall
28%72%
Form, last 5 games
47%53%
Goals scored, last 5
5.09.0
Goals conceded, last 5
6.06.0
Goal forecast: Casa Pia Under 1.5, Sporting CP Under 4.5

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