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Serie A · Regular Season - 32
Mirassol
1 - 1Full time
Sao Paulo
José Maria de Campos Maia · Referee: Lucas Casagrande

Mirassol vs Sao Paulo Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.36
80%
Confidence · High
MirassolDrawSao Paulo
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS
Yes
53%
Correct score
1-1
12%
HT/FT
1/1
22%
Double chance
1X
80%
Avg goals
2.5
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Mirassol or draw.
  • Recent form: Mirassol DWDLW, Sao Paulo WLLWW (oldest to newest).
  • Mirassol score 1.2 a game this season; Sao Paulo score 1.2.

Match preview

Mirassol host Sao Paulo in the Serie A (Regular Season - 32) on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at José Maria de Campos Maia.

This season Mirassol score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals a game; Sao Paulo score 1.2 and concede 1.1.

In their last 5 meetings, Mirassol won 3, Sao Paulo won 2 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 80% confidence, priced at 1.36.

Quick answers

Who will win Mirassol vs Sao Paulo?

Our model gives Mirassol 43%, the draw 37% and Sao Paulo 20%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (80% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 53% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 53% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Mirassol 1 - 1 Sao Paulo. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 80% confidence at odds of 1.36.

When is Mirassol vs Sao Paulo?

Kick-off is Saturday, 24 October 2026, 19:30 UTC at José Maria de Campos Maia. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. RafaelOwn goal7'
  2. 17'Djhordney Ferreira
  3. 26'Iago Amaral Borduchi
  4. 39'Pedro LimaAssist: Damian Bobadilla
  5. Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira Alve61'
  6. 64'Marcos Antonio ⇄ Pablo Maia
  7. 64'Lucas Moura ⇄ Gustavo Santana
  8. Neto Moura ⇄ Shaylon Kallyson Cardozo67'
  9. Bruno Santos de Oliveira ⇄ Carlos Eduardo67'
  10. Denilson Alves Borges ⇄ Wallisson67'
  11. Willian Estefani Machado70'
  12. Alesson dos Santos Batista ⇄ Fernandinho74'
  13. 77'Djhordney Ferreira ⇄ Pedro Ferreira
  14. 77'Iago Amaral Borduchi ⇄ Wendell
  15. Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira Alve ⇄ Jose Roberto78'
  16. Wallisson83'
  17. 87'Damian Bobadilla ⇄ Victor Sá

Match stats

MirassolSao Paulo
Possession
45%55%
Expected goals (xG)
1.321.13
Shots
1814
Shots on target
43
Corners
77
Fouls
1313
Offsides
10
Yellow cards
32
Red cards
00
Saves
24
Passes
414501