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League Cup · Round of 16
Liverpool
Chelsea
Anfield

Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds1.40
77%
Confidence · Good
LiverpoolDrawChelsea
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS
Yes
65%
Correct score
1-1
10%
HT/FT
2/2
23%
Double chance
X2
77%
Avg goals
4.8
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Chelsea and +1.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Liverpool W, Chelsea WW (oldest to newest).
  • Liverpool score 3.0 a game this season; Chelsea score 4.0.

Match preview

Liverpool host Chelsea in the League Cup (Round of 16) on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at Anfield.

Liverpool come into the game with a form of WWWW (newest first; 4 wins in their last 4).

This season Liverpool score 3.0 and concede 1.0 goals a game; Chelsea score 4.0 and concede 1.5.

In their last 5 meetings, Liverpool won 2, Chelsea won 2 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 77% confidence, priced at 1.40.

Quick answers

Who will win Liverpool vs Chelsea?

Our model gives Liverpool 23%, the draw 35% and Chelsea 42%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (77% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 65% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 63% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Liverpool 1 - 1 Chelsea. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 77% confidence at odds of 1.40.

When is Liverpool vs Chelsea?

Kick-off is Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 20:00 UTC at Anfield. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
LiverpoolChelsea
Goals scored
3.04.0
Goals conceded
1.01.5
Clean sheets
0%50%

Model comparison

Percent
LiverpoolChelsea
Form
33%67%
Attack
27%73%
Defence
75%25%
Head to head
50%50%
Goals
46%54%
Overall
46%54%
Form, last 5 games
100%100%
Goals scored, last 5
3.08.0
Goals conceded, last 5
1.03.0
Goal forecast: Liverpool Under 3.5, Chelsea Under 4.5Model verdict: Win or draw