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Liga Pro · Placement Group - 3
Libertad
4 - 0Full time
Guayaquil City FC
Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne · Referee: Gabriel Ismael Gonzalez Cordero

Libertad vs Guayaquil City FC Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.22
83%
Confidence · High
LibertadDrawGuayaquil City FC
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
BTTS
No
51%
Correct score
1-0
11%
HT/FT
1/1
28%
Double chance
1X
83%
Avg goals
2.4
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Libertad or draw.
  • Recent form: Libertad DWLWW, Guayaquil City FC LLWDW (oldest to newest).
  • Libertad score 1.2 a game this season; Guayaquil City FC score 1.2.

Match preview

Libertad host Guayaquil City FC in the Liga Pro (Placement Group - 3) on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne.

This season Libertad score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals a game; Guayaquil City FC score 1.1 and concede 1.3.

In their last 4 meetings, Libertad won 1, Guayaquil City FC won 1 and 2 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 83% confidence, priced at 1.22.

Quick answers

Who will win Libertad vs Guayaquil City FC?

Our model gives Libertad 47%, the draw 37% and Guayaquil City FC 17%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (83% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 51% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 55% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Libertad 1 - 0 Guayaquil City FC. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 83% confidence at odds of 1.22.

When is Libertad vs Guayaquil City FC?

Kick-off is Saturday, 17 October 2026, 16:30 UTC at Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. Bryan Caicedo16'
  2. Rodrigo Morinigo23'
  3. Gabriel CortezAssist: Jostin Bravo40'
  4. Vilinton German Branda MerlinAssist: Jostin Bravo48'
  5. 55'P. González
  6. Vilinton German Branda MerlinAssist: Elvis Patta59'
  7. Edu Pineda ⇄ cristhian valencia65'
  8. Antony Chere ⇄ Enrique Rafael Caicedo Borja65'
  9. Jackson RodriguezAssist: Vilinton German Branda Merlin67'
  10. Jackson RodriguezGoal confirmed67'
  11. 68'Pablo Mancilla ⇄ S Laurino
  12. Vilinton German Branda Merlin ⇄ Hancel Batalla76'
  13. Bryan Caicedo ⇄ Carlos Gruezo76'
  14. 79'Dixon Arroyo ⇄ Kevin Sambonino
  15. 79'R. Arias ⇄ Jonathan Miller Ordóñez Cruz
  16. David Cabezas ⇄ Publio Del Piero Mina Loor80'
  17. 90+5'Junior Ayovi ⇄ Anderson Naula
  18. 90+6'Edinson Mero ⇄ Manuel de Jesús Palma Escobar

Match stats

LibertadGuayaquil City FC
Possession
47%53%
Expected goals (xG)
1.970.78
Shots
2111
Shots on target
62
Corners
43
Fouls
165
Offsides
30
Yellow cards
21
Red cards
00
Saves
22
Passes
386447