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Liga Pro · Placement Group - 4
Emelec
Guayaquil City FC
Estadio Banco del Pacífico Capwell · Referee: Robert Cabrera

Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds2.05
69%
Confidence · Good
EmelecDrawGuayaquil City FC
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
BTTS
No
54%
Correct score
1-0
12%
HT/FT
1/1
30%
Double chance
X2
69%
Avg goals
2.3
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : draw or Guayaquil City FC.
  • Recent form: Emelec WLLLW, Guayaquil City FC LWDWL (oldest to newest).
  • Emelec score 0.9 a game this season; Guayaquil City FC score 1.1.

Match preview

Emelec host Guayaquil City FC in the Liga Pro (Placement Group - 4) on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Estadio Banco del Pacífico Capwell.

This season Emelec score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals a game; Guayaquil City FC score 1.1 and concede 1.3.

In their last 5 meetings, Emelec won 0, Guayaquil City FC won 2 and 3 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 69% confidence, priced at 2.05.

Quick answers

Who will win Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC?

Our model gives Emelec 31%, the draw 36% and Guayaquil City FC 34%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (69% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 54% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 55% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Emelec 1 - 0 Guayaquil City FC. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 69% confidence at odds of 2.05.

When is Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC?

Kick-off is Sunday, 25 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Estadio Banco del Pacífico Capwell. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
EmelecGuayaquil City FC
Goals scored
0.91.1
Goals conceded
1.21.3
Clean sheets
30%24%

Model comparison

Percent
EmelecGuayaquil City FC
Form
46%54%
Attack
41%59%
Defence
63%37%
Poisson model
59%41%
Head to head
38%62%
Goals
40%60%
Overall
48%52%
Form, last 5 games
40%47%
Goals scored, last 5
7.010.0
Goals conceded, last 5
7.012.0
Goal forecast: Emelec Under 2.5, Guayaquil City FC Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw

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