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Liga Pro · Placement Group - 4
Leones del Norte
1 - 0LIVE 35'
Libertad
Jaime Teran Olympic Stadium · Referee: Russell Macario Teran Leon

Leones del Norte vs Libertad Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds1.73
70%
Confidence · Good
Leones del NorteDrawLibertad
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS
Yes
51%
Correct score
1-1
11%
HT/FT
1/1
25%
Double chance
X2
70%
Avg goals
2.3
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : draw or Libertad.
  • Recent form: Leones del Norte DLDLL, Libertad WLWWW (oldest to newest).
  • Leones del Norte score 1.0 a game this season; Libertad score 1.3.

Match preview

Leones del Norte host Libertad in the Liga Pro (Placement Group - 4) on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Jaime Teran Olympic Stadium.

This season Leones del Norte score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals a game; Libertad score 1.3 and concede 1.1.

In their last 3 meetings, Leones del Norte won 1, Libertad won 1 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 70% confidence, priced at 1.73.

Quick answers

Who will win Leones del Norte vs Libertad?

Our model gives Leones del Norte 30%, the draw 36% and Libertad 34%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (70% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 51% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 51% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Leones del Norte 1 - 1 Libertad. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 70% confidence at odds of 1.73.

When is Leones del Norte vs Libertad?

Kick-off is Sunday, 25 October 2026, 16:30 UTC at Jaime Teran Olympic Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
Leones del NorteLibertad
Goals scored
1.01.3
Goals conceded
1.21.1
Clean sheets
30%36%

Model comparison

Percent
Leones del NorteLibertad
Form
14%86%
Attack
20%80%
Defence
31%69%
Poisson model
54%46%
Head to head
50%50%
Goals
44%56%
Overall
36%65%
Form, last 5 games
13%80%
Goals scored, last 5
3.012.0
Goals conceded, last 5
9.04.0
Goal forecast: Leones del Norte Under 1.5, Libertad Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw

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