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Primera A · Clausura - 15
Independiente Medellin
0 - 2Full time
Once Caldas
Estadio Atanasio Girardot · Referee: Steven Camargo

Independiente Medellin vs Once Caldas Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.25
83%
Confidence · High
Independiente MedellinDrawOnce Caldas
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
Yes
54%
Correct score
1-1
11%
HT/FT
1/1
27%
Double chance
1X
83%
Avg goals
2.7
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Independiente Medellin or draw.
  • Recent form: Independiente Medellin WLDLW, Once Caldas WLLDW (oldest to newest).
  • Independiente Medellin score 1.5 a game this season; Once Caldas score 1.4.

Match preview

Independiente Medellin host Once Caldas in the Primera A (Clausura - 15) on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.

This season Independiente Medellin score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals a game; Once Caldas score 1.4 and concede 1.2.

In their last 5 meetings, Independiente Medellin won 3, Once Caldas won 1 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 83% confidence, priced at 1.25.

Quick answers

Who will win Independiente Medellin vs Once Caldas?

Our model gives Independiente Medellin 47%, the draw 36% and Once Caldas 17%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (83% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 54% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 50% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Independiente Medellin 1 - 1 Once Caldas. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 83% confidence at odds of 1.25.

When is Independiente Medellin vs Once Caldas?

Kick-off is Sunday, 18 October 2026, 01:10 UTC at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 17'Jorge Cardona
  2. 21'Andres Colorado
  3. 35'Jefry ZapataAssist: Juan Patiño
  4. Hayen Palacios ⇄ Keiner David Klinger Vasquez45'
  5. Didier Moreno ⇄ Diego Moreno45'
  6. Luis Escorcia53'
  7. 57'Juan Pablo Nieto
  8. John Montano ⇄ Nivaldo Erazo64'
  9. Yony González ⇄ Carlos Alberto Lucumi Gonzalez64'
  10. 65'Michael BarriosAssist: Jefry Zapata
  11. 79'Jefry Zapata ⇄ Dayro Moreno
  12. 79'Michael Barrios ⇄ Edwin Torres
  13. Halam Stiven Loboa Diaz81'
  14. Keiner David Klinger Vasquez82'
  15. 90'Jader Quinones ⇄ Jaime Alvarado
  16. 90+3'Felipe Gomez ⇄ Helieyker Guzman

Match stats

Independiente MedellinOnce Caldas
Possession
51%49%
Expected goals (xG)
0.420.61
Shots
911
Shots on target
35
Corners
23
Fouls
185
Offsides
12
Yellow cards
33
Red cards
00
Saves
33
Passes
376370