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Primera A · Clausura - 16
Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pasto
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro · Referee: S. Bismark

Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.10
88%
Confidence · High
Deportes TolimaDrawDeportivo Pasto
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS
No
58%
Correct score
1-0
12%
HT/FT
1/1
38%
Double chance
1X
88%
Avg goals
2.4
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Deportes Tolima or draw.
  • Recent form: Deportes Tolima DDDLL, Deportivo Pasto WLDLL (oldest to newest).
  • Deportes Tolima score 1.3 a game this season; Deportivo Pasto score 1.1.

Match preview

Deportes Tolima host Deportivo Pasto in the Primera A (Clausura - 16) on Monday, 26 October 2026 at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro.

This season Deportes Tolima score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals a game; Deportivo Pasto score 1.1 and concede 1.4.

In their last 5 meetings, Deportes Tolima won 3, Deportivo Pasto won 2 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 88% confidence, priced at 1.10.

Quick answers

Who will win Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto?

Our model gives Deportes Tolima 55%, the draw 34% and Deportivo Pasto 12%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (88% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 58% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 53% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Deportes Tolima 1 - 0 Deportivo Pasto. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 88% confidence at odds of 1.10.

When is Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto?

Kick-off is Monday, 26 October 2026, 01:15 UTC at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
Goals scored
1.31.1
Goals conceded
1.01.4
Clean sheets
32%29%

Model comparison

Percent
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
Form
43%57%
Attack
83%17%
Defence
50%50%
Poisson model
67%33%
Head to head
60%40%
Goals
64%36%
Overall
61%39%
Form, last 5 games
20%27%
Goals scored, last 5
5.01.0
Goals conceded, last 5
7.07.0
Goal forecast: Deportes Tolima Under 2.5, Deportivo Pasto Under 1.5Model verdict: Win or draw

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