Groningen vs Ajax Prediction, Odds & Tips
Our Prediction
- Model advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Ajax and +1.5 goals.
- Recent form: Groningen LDDWW, Ajax LWWDD (oldest to newest).
- Groningen score 2.5 a game this season; Ajax score 2.8.
Match preview
Groningen host Ajax in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 9) on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion.
This season Groningen score 2.4 and concede 2.1 goals a game; Ajax score 3.0 and concede 1.3.
In their last 5 meetings, Groningen won 1, Ajax won 3 and 1 ended level.
Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 83% confidence, priced at 1.25.
Quick answers
Who will win Groningen vs Ajax?
Our model gives Groningen 17%, the draw 34% and Ajax 49%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (83% confidence).
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 66% confidence.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 70% confidence.
What is the predicted correct score?
Our most likely score is Groningen 1 - 1 Ajax. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.
What is the safest bet?
Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 83% confidence at odds of 1.25.
When is Groningen vs Ajax?
Kick-off is Sunday, 18 October 2026, 14:45 UTC at Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.
Match events
- 10'
- Penalty cancelled16'
- 27'
- 37'
- 40'
- 45+2'
- 49'
- 56'Goal cancelled
- 60'Assist: Owen Wijndal
- 67'
- 69'
- 74'
- 74'
- 75'Assist: Davy Klaassen
- 82'
- 82'
- 83'
- 83'
- 83'
- 83'
- 83'
- 90'
- 90+1'
Match stats
Key stats
Model comparison
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