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Serie A · Regular Season - 31
Gremio
2 - 4Full time
Cruzeiro
Arena do Grêmio · Referee: Joao Vitor Gobi

Gremio vs Cruzeiro Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds1.30
81%
Confidence · High
GremioDrawCruzeiro
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS
Yes
59%
Correct score
1-1
11%
HT/FT
2/2
23%
Double chance
X2
81%
Avg goals
2.7
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : draw or Cruzeiro.
  • Recent form: Gremio LLDDD, Cruzeiro WLWWL (oldest to newest).
  • Gremio score 1.1 a game this season; Cruzeiro score 1.5.

Match preview

Gremio host Cruzeiro in the Serie A (Regular Season - 31) on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Arena do Grêmio.

This season Gremio score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals a game; Cruzeiro score 1.6 and concede 1.5.

In their last 5 meetings, Gremio won 1, Cruzeiro won 3 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 81% confidence, priced at 1.30.

Quick answers

Who will win Gremio vs Cruzeiro?

Our model gives Gremio 19%, the draw 36% and Cruzeiro 45%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (81% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 59% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 55% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Gremio 1 - 1 Cruzeiro. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 81% confidence at odds of 1.30.

When is Gremio vs Cruzeiro?

Kick-off is Sunday, 18 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Arena do Grêmio. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. Carlos ViníciusPenalty17'
  2. 23'Kaio JorgeAssist: Matheus Pereira
  3. Danilo Barbosa da Silva ⇄ Erick Noriega36'
  4. Cristian Pavón41'
  5. 48'Kaio Jorge
  6. 61'Kaio JorgeAssist: William
  7. Filip Krovinović ⇄ Martin Braithwaite66'
  8. 66'Zé Lucas ⇄ Matheus Henrique
  9. 67'João Marcelo
  10. 71'Matheus Pereira
  11. Walter Kannemann73'
  12. Walter Kannemann73'
  13. 76'Keny arroyo
  14. 79'Keny arroyo ⇄ Wesley Gassova Ribeiro Teixeira
  15. 80'João MarceloAssist: Gerson
  16. Cristian Pavón ⇄ Tetê90'
  17. Francis Amuzu ⇄ José Enamorado90'
  18. 90+2'Gerson ⇄ Bruno Rodrigues
  19. 90+2'Kaio Jorge ⇄ Luciano Rodríguez
  20. 90+2'João Marcelo ⇄ Fabrício Bruno

Match stats

GremioCruzeiro
Possession
40%60%
Expected goals (xG)
2.071.54
Shots
1713
Shots on target
66
Corners
88
Fouls
1916
Offsides
01
Yellow cards
13
Red cards
10
Saves
24
Passes
330515