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Serie A · Regular Season - 31
Fluminense
1 - 2Full time
Santos
Estádio do Maracanã · Referee: Ramon Abatti

Fluminense vs Santos Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.36
80%
Confidence · High
FluminenseDrawSantos
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS
Yes
56%
Correct score
1-1
11%
HT/FT
1/1
24%
Double chance
1X
80%
Avg goals
2.9
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Fluminense or draw.
  • Recent form: Fluminense WLWWL, Santos WWWDL (oldest to newest).
  • Fluminense score 1.6 a game this season; Santos score 1.5.

Match preview

Fluminense host Santos in the Serie A (Regular Season - 31) on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Estádio do Maracanã.

This season Fluminense score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals a game; Santos score 1.5 and concede 1.5.

In their last 5 meetings, Fluminense won 4, Santos won 0 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 80% confidence, priced at 1.36.

Quick answers

Who will win Fluminense vs Santos?

Our model gives Fluminense 45%, the draw 36% and Santos 20%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (80% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 56% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 54% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Fluminense 1 - 1 Santos. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 80% confidence at odds of 1.36.

When is Fluminense vs Santos?

Kick-off is Sunday, 18 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Estádio do Maracanã. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. Rodrigo CastilloAssist: Igor Rabello4'
  2. 25'Álvaro Barreal
  3. Agustín Canobbio31'
  4. 49'Gabriel BarbosaAssist: Rodinei
  5. 54'Philippe CoutinhoAssist: Gabriel Bontempo
  6. Rodrigo Castillo ⇄ Hulk57'
  7. Yeferson Soteldo ⇄ Jefferson David Savarino Quintero57'
  8. Luciano Acosta ⇄ Paulo Henrique Chagas de Lima57'
  9. Agustín Canobbio ⇄ Wesley Natã de Freitas Prado57'
  10. 72'Philippe Coutinho ⇄ Rony
  11. 72'Everton ⇄ Christian Oliva
  12. Gustavo Nonato Santana ⇄ Kevin Serna76'
  13. 83'Lucas Veríssimo ⇄ João Alencar Santos Paes da Costa
  14. 87'Álvaro Barreal ⇄ Rafael Gonzaga
  15. 87'Neymar da Silva Santos Júnior ⇄ Benjamín Rollheiser
  16. Jefferson David Savarino Quintero90+5'

Match stats

FluminenseSantos
Possession
46%54%
Expected goals (xG)
0.992.26
Shots
817
Shots on target
25
Corners
45
Fouls
1818
Yellow cards
21
Red cards
00
Saves
31
Passes
520523