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Primera A · Clausura - 15
Deportivo Pasto
0 - 1Full time
Alianza Valledupar
Estadio Departamental Libertad · Referee: Alvaro Jose Melendez Panneflek

Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Valledupar Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.17
86%
Confidence · High
Deportivo PastoDrawAlianza Valledupar
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
BTTS
No
54%
Correct score
1-0
12%
HT/FT
1/1
30%
Double chance
1X
86%
Avg goals
2.5
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Deportivo Pasto or draw.
  • Recent form: Deportivo Pasto DWWLD, Alianza Valledupar WLWLD (oldest to newest).
  • Deportivo Pasto score 1.2 a game this season; Alianza Valledupar score 0.8.

Match preview

Deportivo Pasto host Alianza Valledupar in the Primera A (Clausura - 15) on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at Estadio Departamental Libertad.

This season Deportivo Pasto score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals a game; Alianza Valledupar score 0.8 and concede 1.6.

In their last 5 meetings, Deportivo Pasto won 1, Alianza Valledupar won 1 and 3 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 86% confidence, priced at 1.17.

Quick answers

Who will win Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Valledupar?

Our model gives Deportivo Pasto 51%, the draw 36% and Alianza Valledupar 14%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (86% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 54% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 55% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Deportivo Pasto 1 - 0 Alianza Valledupar. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 86% confidence at odds of 1.17.

When is Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Valledupar?

Kick-off is Tuesday, 20 October 2026, 01:05 UTC at Estadio Departamental Libertad. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 36'K. Moreno
  2. 39'I. Alba
  3. J. Micolta Piedahita ⇄ P. Preciado61'
  4. Y. Goez ⇄ M. Gil61'
  5. 69'L. Palacios ⇄ F. Pardo
  6. 69'C. Vergara ⇄ Y. Londono
  7. E. C. Serje Orozco ⇄ H. Mancilla70'
  8. F. Leys ⇄ M. Pisano70'
  9. 76'F. Pardo
  10. 78'J. Figueroa ⇄ P. Franco
  11. 81'J. Lasso
  12. 82'I. Alba ⇄ Y. Rosales
  13. 82'J. Munoz ⇄ D. Quinones
  14. J. Perlaza ⇄ J. Quinones86'
  15. 90+3'D. Quinones

Match stats

Deportivo PastoAlianza Valledupar
Possession
71%29%
Expected goals (xG)
0.920.94
Shots
126
Shots on target
31
Corners
41
Fouls
919
Offsides
20
Yellow cards
03
Red cards
01
Saves
02
Passes
622257
Pass accuracy
85%73%