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Primera A · Clausura - 1
Chico
1 - 4Full time
Atletico Nacional
Estadio La Independencia · Referee: Carlos Ortega

Chico vs Atletico Nacional Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds1.10
87%
Confidence · High
ChicoDrawAtletico Nacional
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS
No
51%
Correct score
0-1
10%
HT/FT
2/2
35%
Double chance
X2
87%
Avg goals
2.6
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : draw or Atletico Nacional.
  • Recent form: Chico LLWDL, Atletico Nacional WLDWD (oldest to newest).
  • Chico score 0.8 a game this season; Atletico Nacional score 1.9.

Match preview

Chico host Atletico Nacional in the Primera A (Clausura - 1) on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Estadio La Independencia.

This season Chico score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals a game; Atletico Nacional score 2.0 and concede 0.8.

In their last 5 meetings, Chico won 1, Atletico Nacional won 3 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 87% confidence, priced at 1.10.

Quick answers

Who will win Chico vs Atletico Nacional?

Our model gives Chico 13%, the draw 35% and Atletico Nacional 52%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (87% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 51% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 53% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Chico 0 - 1 Atletico Nacional. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 87% confidence at odds of 1.10.

When is Chico vs Atletico Nacional?

Kick-off is Saturday, 17 October 2026, 20:00 UTC at Estadio La Independencia. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 16'Emmanuel BenítezAssist: Edwin Cardona
  2. Juan Diaz19'
  3. 38'Juan Rengifo
  4. 45'Xavi Rios
  5. Alejandro Maya ⇄ I. Camargo45'
  6. 45'Elkin Rivero ⇄ Felipe Marín
  7. Jacobo Pimentel ⇄ Yesus Cabrera45'
  8. 45'Emmanuel Benítez ⇄ Nicolás Rodríguez
  9. 50'Edwin CardonaAssist: Nicolás Rodríguez
  10. 56'Edwin Cardona
  11. I. Camargo62'
  12. Sebastian Salazar ⇄ sebastian viveros65'
  13. 65'Elías Lautaro Cabrera ⇄ Andrés Sarmiento
  14. 66'Edwin Cardona ⇄ Kevin Parra
  15. Estiven Sarria ⇄ Sander Navarro74'
  16. S. Mera ⇄ Delio Ramírez74'
  17. 76'Juan Rengifo ⇄ Jose Escorcia
  18. I. CamargoPenalty confirmed80'
  19. Juan DiazPenalty83'
  20. 85'Andrés SarmientoAssist: Jose Escorcia
  21. 90+1'Andrés SarmientoAssist: Kevin Parra

Match stats

ChicoAtletico Nacional
Possession
38%62%
Expected goals (xG)
1.271.23
Shots
1112
Shots on target
45
Corners
55
Fouls
1310
Offsides
52
Yellow cards
23
Red cards
00
Saves
13
Passes
299502