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Serie A · Regular Season - 31
Bahia
0 - 3Full time
Flamengo
Arena Fonte Nova · Referee: Wilton Sampaio

Bahia vs Flamengo Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds1.30
81%
Confidence · High
BahiaDrawFlamengo
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS
Yes
59%
Correct score
1-1
11%
HT/FT
2/2
24%
Double chance
X2
81%
Avg goals
2.7
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : draw or Flamengo.
  • Recent form: Bahia WWLLW, Flamengo WWWDW (oldest to newest).
  • Bahia score 1.5 a game this season; Flamengo score 1.9.

Match preview

Bahia host Flamengo in the Serie A (Regular Season - 31) on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Arena Fonte Nova.

This season Bahia score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals a game; Flamengo score 2.0 and concede 0.8.

In their last 5 meetings, Bahia won 1, Flamengo won 4 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 81% confidence, priced at 1.30.

Quick answers

Who will win Bahia vs Flamengo?

Our model gives Bahia 19%, the draw 36% and Flamengo 45%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (81% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 59% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 56% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Bahia 1 - 1 Flamengo. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 81% confidence at odds of 1.30.

When is Bahia vs Flamengo?

Kick-off is Sunday, 18 October 2026, 21:30 UTC at Arena Fonte Nova. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 3'Erick Pulgar
  2. Cristian Olivera41'
  3. 48'Léo Pereira
  4. Jean Lucas51'
  5. 64'JorginhoPenalty
  6. Nicolas Acevedo ⇄ Caio Alexandre65'
  7. Marcos Victor ⇄ Román Gómez65'
  8. Cristian Olivera ⇄ Ademir65'
  9. 68'Jorge Carrascal ⇄ Lucas Paquetá
  10. 73'Gonzalo PlataAssist: Samuel Lino
  11. Rodrigo Nestor ⇄ Éverton Ribeiro75'
  12. erick pulga ⇄ Mateo Naín Sanabria75'
  13. 75'Samuel Lino ⇄ Joaquín Freitas
  14. 76'Pedro ⇄ Bruno Henrique
  15. 78'Lucas PaquetáAssist: Guillermo Varela
  16. 83'Léo Ortiz ⇄ Vitão
  17. 83'Erick Pulgar ⇄ Nicolas De la Cruz
  18. Marco Moreno86'
  19. Román Gómez89'

Match stats

BahiaFlamengo
Possession
36%64%
Expected goals (xG)
0.592.76
Shots
921
Shots on target
315
Corners
414
Fouls
129
Offsides
13
Yellow cards
42
Red cards
00
Saves
113
Passes
342574