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Serie A · Regular Season - 31
Atletico Paranaense
0 - 2Full time
Palmeiras
Arena da Baixada · Referee: Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva

Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds1.40
78%
Confidence · Good
Atletico ParanaenseDrawPalmeiras
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
Yes
55%
Correct score
1-1
11%
HT/FT
2/2
21%
Double chance
X2
78%
Avg goals
2.6
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : draw or Palmeiras.
  • Recent form: Atletico Paranaense LDWDW, Palmeiras DWDWW (oldest to newest).
  • Atletico Paranaense score 1.6 a game this season; Palmeiras score 1.7.

Match preview

Atletico Paranaense host Palmeiras in the Serie A (Regular Season - 31) on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Arena da Baixada.

This season Atletico Paranaense score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals a game; Palmeiras score 1.7 and concede 0.7.

In their last 5 meetings, Atletico Paranaense won 1, Palmeiras won 3 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 78% confidence, priced at 1.40.

Quick answers

Who will win Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras?

Our model gives Atletico Paranaense 22%, the draw 37% and Palmeiras 42%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (78% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 55% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 50% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Atletico Paranaense 1 - 1 Palmeiras. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 78% confidence at odds of 1.40.

When is Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras?

Kick-off is Saturday, 17 October 2026, 22:30 UTC at Arena da Baixada. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 6'Maurício Magalhães PradoAssist: José Manuel López
  2. Gilberto9'
  3. 10'Joaquín Piquerez
  4. 22'Andreas Pereira
  5. 35'Joaquín Piquerez
  6. 43'Andreas Pereira
  7. Antonio Feliphe Costa Silva ⇄ jorge rivaldo45'
  8. 45'Maurício Magalhães Prado ⇄ Marlon Freitas
  9. João Victor Machado Cruz ⇄ Claudinho45'
  10. Claudinho ⇄ Bruno Zapelli52'
  11. Leonardo Caetano Silva57'
  12. 65'José Manuel López ⇄ Jhon Arias
  13. Gilberto ⇄ chiqueti67'
  14. 72'Lucas Evangelista ⇄ Emiliano Martínez
  15. 72'Ramon Sosa ⇄ Arthur Gabriel
  16. Leonardo Caetano Silva ⇄ Eduardo Kogitzki Anastacio87'
  17. 90'Bruno Fuchs ⇄ Luis Benedetti

Match stats

Atletico ParanaensePalmeiras
Possession
64%36%
Expected goals (xG)
1.210.38
Shots
246
Shots on target
63
Corners
161
Fouls
118
Offsides
20
Yellow cards
21
Red cards
01
Saves
16
Passes
580339