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Primera A · Clausura - 14
Atletico Nacional
3 - 0Full time
Deportivo Pasto
Estadio Atanasio Girardot · Referee: Carlos Andrés Márquez Ortega

Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home Win
Odds1.25
60%
Confidence · Fair
Atletico NacionalDrawDeportivo Pasto
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS
No
61%
Correct score
2-0
13%
HT/FT
1/1
47%
Double chance
1X
91%
Avg goals
2.8
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Winner : Atletico Nacional.
  • Recent form: Atletico Nacional LDWDW, Deportivo Pasto DWWLD (oldest to newest).
  • Atletico Nacional score 2.0 a game this season; Deportivo Pasto score 1.2.

Match preview

Atletico Nacional host Deportivo Pasto in the Primera A (Clausura - 14) on Friday, 23 October 2026 at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.

Atletico Nacional come into the game with a form of LWW (newest first; 2 wins in their last 3).

This season Atletico Nacional score 2.0 and concede 0.8 goals a game; Deportivo Pasto score 1.1 and concede 1.4.

In their last 5 meetings, Atletico Nacional won 4, Deportivo Pasto won 0 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home Win with 60% confidence, priced at 1.25.

Quick answers

Who will win Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto?

Our model gives Atletico Nacional 60%, the draw 30% and Deportivo Pasto 9%. Our tip is Home Win (60% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 61% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 54% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Atletico Nacional 2 - 0 Deportivo Pasto. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 91% confidence at odds of 1.05.

When is Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto?

Kick-off is Friday, 23 October 2026, 01:00 UTC at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. E. CardonaAssist: J. Zapata13'
  2. X. Rios41'
  3. 50'F. Torijano
  4. R. Escorcia52'
  5. A. Reyes56'
  6. 61'D. Chavez ⇄ J. Micolta Piedahita
  7. 61'M. Gil ⇄ P. Preciado
  8. R. Escorcia ⇄ E. Benitez65'
  9. E. Cabrera ⇄ K. Parra Atehortua65'
  10. E. Cardona ⇄ N. Rodriguez65'
  11. 68'J. Perlaza ⇄ J. Mendez
  12. 69'N. Gil ⇄ J. Rios
  13. C. Haydar73'
  14. C. Haydar ⇄ W. Tesillo73'
  15. S. Rojas ⇄ M. Uribe73'
  16. 80'H. Mancilla ⇄ S. Cordoba
  17. J. RengifoAssist: N. Rodriguez90'

Match stats

Atletico NacionalDeportivo Pasto
Possession
63%37%
Expected goals (xG)
1.060.15
Shots
195
Shots on target
70
Corners
32
Fouls
167
Offsides
02
Yellow cards
31
Saves
05
Passes
583328
Pass accuracy
89%80%