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Serie A · Regular Season - 31
Atletico-MG
1 - 0Full time
Coritiba
Arena MRV · Referee: Davi de Oliveira Lacerda

Atletico-MG vs Coritiba Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.14
88%
Confidence · High
Atletico-MGDrawCoritiba
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS
Yes
52%
Correct score
1-1
10%
HT/FT
1/1
34%
Double chance
1X
88%
Avg goals
2.8
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Atletico-MG or draw.
  • Recent form: Atletico-MG WDWDW, Coritiba LDLLD (oldest to newest).
  • Atletico-MG score 1.4 a game this season; Coritiba score 1.3.

Match preview

Atletico-MG host Coritiba in the Serie A (Regular Season - 31) on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Arena MRV.

This season Atletico-MG score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals a game; Coritiba score 1.2 and concede 1.6.

In their last 5 meetings, Atletico-MG won 2, Coritiba won 2 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 88% confidence, priced at 1.14.

Quick answers

Who will win Atletico-MG vs Coritiba?

Our model gives Atletico-MG 53%, the draw 34% and Coritiba 12%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (88% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 52% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 53% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Atletico-MG 1 - 1 Coritiba. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 88% confidence at odds of 1.14.

When is Atletico-MG vs Coritiba?

Kick-off is Saturday, 17 October 2026, 21:30 UTC at Arena MRV. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. Thiago Borbas ⇄ Reinier Jesus Carvalho45'
  2. 60'Paulo Roberto ⇄ Rodrigo Rodrigues
  3. 61'Joaquin Lavega ⇄ Breno Lopes
  4. 62'Fabricio Bustos ⇄ Tinga
  5. Tomás Pérez ⇄ Kevin Castaño62'
  6. Alan Minda ⇄ Tomás Cuello62'
  7. Kaua Pascini ⇄ Renan Lodi62'
  8. Mamady Cisse ⇄ Victor Hugo Gomes Silva74'
  9. Igor GomesAssist: Natanael Moreira Milouski78'
  10. 79'Sebastián Gómez ⇄ Nicolas Fonseca
  11. 79'Pedro Rocha ⇄ Brian Ocampo
  12. 90+4'Bruno Melo
  13. 90+4'Thiago Santos

Match stats

Atletico-MGCoritiba
Possession
58%42%
Expected goals (xG)
1.390.69
Shots
2213
Shots on target
103
Corners
105
Fouls
1611
Offsides
31
Yellow cards
01
Red cards
00
Saves
39
Passes
541394