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Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 33
Atlanta United FC
Toronto FC
Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds–
70%
Confidence · Good
Atlanta United FCDrawToronto FC
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS
Yes
64%
Correct score
2-2
7%
HT/FT
1/1
22%
Double chance
1X
70%
Avg goals
3.2
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Atlanta United FC or draw.
  • Recent form: Atlanta United FC DLWLL, Toronto FC LWDWL (oldest to newest).
  • Atlanta United FC score 1.3 a game this season; Toronto FC score 1.5.

Match preview

Atlanta United FC host Toronto FC in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 33) on Sunday, 1 November 2026 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Atlanta United FC come into the game with a form of LLLW (newest first; 1 win in their last 4), while Toronto FC have WLWD (newest first; 2 wins in their last 4).

This season Atlanta United FC score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals a game; Toronto FC score 1.5 and concede 1.8.

In their last 5 meetings, Atlanta United FC won 2, Toronto FC won 1 and 2 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 70% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC?

Our model gives Atlanta United FC 35%, the draw 35% and Toronto FC 30%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (70% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 64% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 62% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Atlanta United FC 2 - 2 Toronto FC. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 70% confidence.

When is Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC?

Kick-off is Sunday, 1 November 2026, 21:30 UTC at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
Atlanta United FCToronto FC
Goals scored
1.21.5
Goals conceded
1.71.8
Clean sheets
13%13%

Model comparison

Percent
Atlanta United FCToronto FC
Form
36%64%
Attack
50%50%
Defence
48%52%
Poisson model
52%48%
Head to head
62%38%
Goals
50%50%
Overall
50%50%
Form, last 5 games
27%47%
Goals scored, last 5
9.09.0
Goals conceded, last 5
11.010.0
Goal forecast: Atlanta United FC Under 2.5, Toronto FC Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw

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