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Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 32
Toronto FC
DC United
BMO Field

Toronto FC vs DC United Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds–
90%
Confidence · High
Toronto FCDrawDC United
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS
Yes
64%
Correct score
2-2
2%
HT/FT
1/1
28%
Double chance
1X
90%
Avg goals
3.2
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Double chance : Toronto FC or draw and +1.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Toronto FC LLWDW, DC United DLWLL (oldest to newest).
  • Toronto FC score 1.5 a game this season; DC United score 1.3.

Match preview

Toronto FC host DC United in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 32) on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at BMO Field.

Toronto FC come into the game with a form of LWD (newest first; 1 win in their last 3), while DC United have LLW (newest first; 1 win in their last 3).

This season Toronto FC score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals a game; DC United score 1.3 and concede 1.8.

In their last 5 meetings, Toronto FC won 1, DC United won 2 and 2 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 90% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Toronto FC vs DC United?

Our model gives Toronto FC 45%, the draw 45% and DC United 10%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 64% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 62% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Toronto FC 2 - 2 DC United. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 90% confidence.

When is Toronto FC vs DC United?

Kick-off is Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 23:30 UTC at BMO Field. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
Toronto FCDC United
Goals scored
1.51.3
Goals conceded
1.81.8
Clean sheets
13%21%

Model comparison

Percent
Toronto FCDC United
Form
64%36%
Attack
53%47%
Defence
61%39%
Poisson model
55%45%
Head to head
38%62%
Goals
47%53%
Overall
53%47%
Form, last 5 games
47%27%
Goals scored, last 5
8.07.0
Goals conceded, last 5
9.014.0
Goal forecast: Toronto FC Under 2.5, DC United Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw

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