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Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 32
New York City FC
Atlanta United FC
Yankee Stadium

New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds–
90%
Confidence · High
New York City FCDrawAtlanta United FC
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS
Yes
57%
Correct score
2-1
2%
HT/FT
2/2
28%
Double chance
X2
90%
Avg goals
2.9
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : draw or Atlanta United FC.
  • Recent form: New York City FC LDLLD, Atlanta United FC WDLWL (oldest to newest).
  • New York City FC score 1.4 a game this season; Atlanta United FC score 1.2.

Match preview

New York City FC host Atlanta United FC in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 32) on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at Yankee Stadium.

New York City FC come into the game with a form of DDL (newest first; 0 wins in their last 3), while Atlanta United FC have LLW (newest first; 1 win in their last 3).

This season New York City FC score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals a game; Atlanta United FC score 1.2 and concede 1.7.

In their last 5 meetings, New York City FC won 1, Atlanta United FC won 1 and 3 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 90% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC?

Our model gives New York City FC 10%, the draw 45% and Atlanta United FC 45%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 57% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 54% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is New York City FC 2 - 1 Atlanta United FC. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 90% confidence.

When is New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC?

Kick-off is Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 23:30 UTC at Yankee Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
New York City FCAtlanta United FC
Goals scored
1.41.2
Goals conceded
1.41.7
Clean sheets
17%13%

Model comparison

Percent
New York City FCAtlanta United FC
Form
22%78%
Attack
33%67%
Defence
50%50%
Poisson model
56%44%
Head to head
50%50%
Goals
57%43%
Overall
45%55%
Form, last 5 games
13%47%
Goals scored, last 5
4.08.0
Goals conceded, last 5
8.08.0
Goal forecast: New York City FC Under 2.5, Atlanta United FC Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw

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