Vitória SC vs Maritimo Prediction, Odds & Tips
Home or Draw (1X)Odds1.11
Vitória SCDrawMaritimo
54%34%12%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
53%
Why we like it
- Model advice: Combo Double chance : Vitória SC or draw and -3.5 goals.
- Recent form: Vitória SC LDLDL, Maritimo LLLDL (oldest to newest).
- Vitória SC score 0.6 a game this season; Maritimo score 1.1.
Match preview
Vitória SC host Maritimo in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 9) on Friday, 23 October 2026 at Estádio D. Afonso Henriques.
In their last 5 meetings, Vitória SC won 4, Maritimo won 0 and 1 ended level.
Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 88% confidence, priced at 1.11.
Quick answers
Who will win Vitória SC vs Maritimo?
Our model gives Vitória SC 54%, the draw 34% and Maritimo 12%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (88% confidence).
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 52% confidence.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 53% confidence.
What is the predicted correct score?
Our most likely score is Vitória SC 1 - 0 Maritimo. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.
What is the safest bet?
Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 88% confidence at odds of 1.11.
When is Vitória SC vs Maritimo?
Kick-off is Friday, 23 October 2026, 19:45 UTC at Estádio D. Afonso Henriques. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.
Match events
- Gustavo Silva12'
- Gonçalo Nogueira17'
- Toni Borevković22'
- 36'Tomas Tavares
- 36'Raphael Guzzo
- ●Arnel Jakupović38'
- 45'Tomas Tavares ⇄ Simo Bouzaidi⇄
- ●Paulo HenriqueOwn goal48'
- ●Oumar Camara60'
- 62'Rodri Andrade
- Fábio Samuel Amorim Silva63'
- ⇄Gustavo Silva ⇄ Victor Andersson66'
- ⇄Gonçalo Nogueira ⇄ Lohann Doucet66'
- 69'Maxime Dominguez ⇄ Nilton Varela⇄
- 69'Raphael Guzzo ⇄ Ibrahim Akitunde Alani⇄
- ●Arnel JakupovićAssist: Fábio Samuel Amorim Silva76'
- ⇄Arnel Jakupović ⇄ Alioune Ndoye78'
- ⇄Ahmed Sidibé ⇄ Yeimar Mosquera78'
- ⇄Fábio Samuel Amorim Silva ⇄ Alan de Souza Guimarães78'
- 80'Martín Tejón ⇄ Mons Rogeani Bassouamina⇄
- 86'Adrián Butzke ⇄ Maurice Boakye⇄
- ●Yeimar MosqueraAssist: Alan de Souza Guimarães90'
Match stats
Vitória SCMaritimo
Expected goals (xG)
1.820.54
Key stats
Per game, this seasonVitória SCMaritimo
Model comparison
PercentVitória SCMaritimo
Goals scored, last 5
2.04.0
Goals conceded, last 5
6.011.0
Goal forecast: Vitória SC Under 1.5, Maritimo Under 1.5Model verdict: Win or draw
Vitória SC · last 1
1W 0D 0L17 OctARecreativa de Lamelas0-1W
Maritimo · last 1
1W 0D 0L18 OctAAlcochetense1-2W
Head to head
Last 10Apr 2023Maritimo1-2Vitória SC
Nov 2022Vitória SC1-0Maritimo
Mar 2022Maritimo0-1Vitória SC
Oct 2021Vitória SC2-1Maritimo
May 2021Maritimo0-0Vitória SC
Jan 2021Vitória SC1-0Maritimo
Jul 2020Vitória SC1-0Maritimo
Jan 2020Maritimo0-0Vitória SC
Mar 2019Vitória SC1-0Maritimo
Oct 2018Maritimo1-3Vitória SC
Best available odds
DecimalHT/FT
1/X15.00
1/241.00
X/210.00
X/X5.50
1/12.60
X/14.50
2/123.00
2/X17.00
2/28.50
Correct score
1-06.50
2-07.00
1-17.50
2-18.50
3-011.00
0-011.00
3-113.00
2-217.00
0-117.00
4-021.00
1-221.00
4-123.00
Highlighted = our pick. Odds change; check with the bookmaker before betting.
Confirmed line-ups
ConfirmedVitória SC 4-2-3-1
98Lucas Furtado
23T. Strata
21T. Borevković
5A. Sidibé
13João Mendes
8Gonçalo Nogueira
16Beni
7O. Camara
20Samu
11Gustavo
9A. Jakupovic
Maritimo 4-2-3-1
30Fran Vieites
2Igor Julião
44Romain Correia
22G. Szalai
23Paulo Henrique
6Rodrigo Andrade
14Raphael Guzzo
15Tomás Tavares
8M. Dominguez
10Martín Tejón
17Adrián Butzke
