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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 9
Rio Ave
Famalicao
Estádio dos Arcos · Referee: Helder Carvalho

Rio Ave vs Famalicao Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds1.25
82%
Confidence · High
Rio AveDrawFamalicao
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS
Yes
52%
Correct score
1-1
12%
HT/FT
2/2
25%
Double chance
X2
82%
Avg goals
2.9
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Famalicao and +1.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Rio Ave LLDLW, Famalicao DDDWL (oldest to newest).
  • Rio Ave score 1.0 a game this season; Famalicao score 1.3.

Match preview

Rio Ave host Famalicao in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 9) on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Estádio dos Arcos.

This season Rio Ave score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals a game; Famalicao score 1.3 and concede 1.4.

In their last 5 meetings, Rio Ave won 0, Famalicao won 2 and 3 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 82% confidence, priced at 1.25.

Quick answers

Who will win Rio Ave vs Famalicao?

Our model gives Rio Ave 18%, the draw 37% and Famalicao 46%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (82% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 52% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 54% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Rio Ave 1 - 1 Famalicao. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 82% confidence at odds of 1.25.

When is Rio Ave vs Famalicao?

Kick-off is Sunday, 25 October 2026, 18:00 UTC at Estádio dos Arcos. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
Rio AveFamalicao
Goals scored
1.01.3
Goals conceded
2.11.4
Clean sheets
13%25%

Model comparison

Percent
Rio AveFamalicao
Form
40%60%
Attack
43%57%
Defence
33%67%
Poisson model
25%75%
Head to head
25%75%
Goals
33%67%
Overall
33%67%
Form, last 5 games
27%40%
Goals scored, last 5
6.08.0
Goals conceded, last 5
14.07.0
Goal forecast: Rio Ave Under 2.5, Famalicao Under 3.5Model verdict: Win or draw