Villarreal vs Elche Prediction, Odds & Tips
Home or Draw (1X)Odds1.12
VillarrealDrawElche
55%32%13%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68%
Why we like it
- Model advice: Double chance : Villarreal or draw.
- Recent form: Villarreal LLWWL, Elche LDLWD (oldest to newest).
- Villarreal score 1.6 a game this season; Elche score 1.4.
Match preview
Villarreal host Elche in the La Liga (Regular Season - 9) on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Estadio de la Cerámica.
This season Villarreal score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals a game; Elche score 1.2 and concede 1.9.
In their last 5 meetings, Villarreal won 3, Elche won 2 and 0 ended level.
Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 87% confidence, priced at 1.12.
Quick answers
Who will win Villarreal vs Elche?
Our model gives Villarreal 55%, the draw 32% and Elche 13%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (87% confidence).
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 59% confidence.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 68% confidence.
What is the predicted correct score?
Our most likely score is Villarreal 2 - 1 Elche. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.
What is the safest bet?
Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 87% confidence at odds of 1.12.
When is Villarreal vs Elche?
Kick-off is Saturday, 17 October 2026, 14:15 UTC at Estadio de la Cerámica. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.
Match events
- 28'Marc Aguado ⇄ Federico Redondo Solari⇄
- 38'Gonzalo Villar
- 63'Roy RevivoPenalty cancelledVAR
- 65'Lucas Cepeda ⇄ Tete Morente⇄
- 65'Thomas Lemar ⇄ Martim Neto⇄
- 65'Abiel Alessio Osorio ⇄ Fernando Niño Rodríguez⇄
- ⇄Santi Comesaña ⇄ Georges Mikautadze66'
- ⇄Tani Oluwaseyi ⇄ Pape Gueye66'
- ⇄Carlos Macià ⇄ Nathan-Dylan Saliba66'
- 71'Tete Morente
- 75'Roy Revivo
- ⇄Ilias Akhomach Chakkour ⇄ Gerard Moreno75'
- Alex Freeman81'
- 83'Buba Sangaré ⇄ Ruben Sanchez Saez⇄
- ⇄Ayoze Pérez ⇄ Nizar El Jmili84'
- 90+1'Víctor Chust
- Juan Foyth90+1'
Match stats
VillarrealElche
Expected goals (xG)
2.230.31
Key stats
Per game, this seasonVillarrealElche
Model comparison
PercentVillarrealElche
Goals scored, last 5
9.08.0
Goals conceded, last 5
8.08.0
Goal forecast: Villarreal Under 2.5, Elche Under 3.5Model verdict: Win or draw
Villarreal · last 1
1W 0D 0L13 OctHNapoli3-1W
Elche · last 0
0W 0D 0LNo matches.
Head to head
Last 10Mar 2026Villarreal2-1Elche
Jan 2026Elche1-3Villarreal
Feb 2023Elche3-1Villarreal
Sept 2022Villarreal4-0Elche
Jan 2022Elche1-0Villarreal
Sept 2021Villarreal4-1Elche
Feb 2021Elche2-2Villarreal
Dec 2020Villarreal0-0Elche
May 2015Villarreal1-0Elche
Jan 2015Elche2-2Villarreal
Best available odds
DecimalHT/FT
1/X15.00
1/241.00
X/215.00
X/X8.50
1/12.00
X/14.50
2/117.00
2/X17.00
2/211.00
Correct score
2-18.50
2-09.00
3-110.00
1-110.00
1-011.00
3-011.00
2-215.00
4-017.00
4-117.00
3-219.00
1-221.00
0-023.00
0-121.00
Highlighted = our pick. Odds change; check with the bookmaker before betting.
Confirmed line-ups
ConfirmedVillarreal 4-4-2
25P. Gulácsi
3A. Freeman
8J. Foyth
2Logan Costa
23Sergi Cardona
11Ilias Akhomach
14Santi Comesaña
16C. Macia
10Alberto Moleiro
22Ayoze Pérez
21T. Oluwaseyi
Elche 5-3-2
1M. Dituro
2Buba Sangaré
47J. Morcillo
23Víctor Chust
3R. Revivo
11Germán Valera
12Gonzalo Villar
8Marc Aguado
18T. Lemar
24A. Osorio
21L. Cepeda
Injuries and suspensions
Villarreal: N. Pepe, Eye injury, out
Villarreal: T. Buchanan, Muscle Injury, out
