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Serie A · Regular Season - 7
Venezia
1 - 0Full time
Napoli
Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo · Referee: Juan Luca Sacchi

Venezia vs Napoli Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Away Win
Odds1.70
53%
Confidence · Fair
VeneziaDrawNapoli
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS
Yes
55%
Correct score
1-1
10%
HT/FT
2/2
32%
Double chance
X2
90%
Avg goals
3.1
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Winner : Napoli.
  • Recent form: Venezia LLLLL, Napoli LLWDW (oldest to newest).
  • Venezia score 0.8 a game this season; Napoli score 1.7.

Match preview

Venezia host Napoli in the Serie A (Regular Season - 7) on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo.

This season Venezia score 0.9 and concede 2.3 goals a game; Napoli score 1.6 and concede 1.3.

In their last 4 meetings, Venezia won 0, Napoli won 3 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Away Win with 53% confidence, priced at 1.70.

Quick answers

Who will win Venezia vs Napoli?

Our model gives Venezia 10%, the draw 37% and Napoli 53%. Our tip is Away Win (53% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 55% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 57% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Venezia 1 - 1 Napoli. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 90% confidence at odds of 1.18.

When is Venezia vs Napoli?

Kick-off is Saturday, 17 October 2026, 13:00 UTC at Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. Akor AdamsAssist: Simon Sohm49'
  2. 54'Lorenzo Lucca ⇄ Rasmus Hojlund
  3. 54'Giovane Santana Do Nascimento ⇄ Alisson Santos
  4. 54'Billy Gilmour ⇄ Kevin De Bruyne
  5. Toma Bašić61'
  6. John Yeboah ⇄ Albion Rrahmani63'
  7. 63'Sam Beukema ⇄ Matteo Politano
  8. 68'Kevin De Bruyne
  9. Toma Bašić ⇄ Thorir Johann Helgason71'
  10. Ridgeciano Haps ⇄ Pasquale Mazzocchi71'
  11. Matias Moreno ⇄ Joël Schingtienne72'
  12. Enrique Pérez Muñoz80'
  13. Simon Sohm ⇄ Lamine Fanne82'
  14. 82'Leonardo Spinazzola ⇄ Mathias Olivera

Match stats

VeneziaNapoli
Possession
29%71%
Expected goals (xG)
0.672.46
Shots
929
Shots on target
410
Corners
012
Fouls
76
Offsides
05
Yellow cards
20
Red cards
00
Saves
93
Passes
310733