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Serie A · Regular Season - 8
Atalanta
4 - 4Full time
Frosinone
New Balance Arena · Referee: Livio Marinelli

Atalanta vs Frosinone Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.28
82%
Confidence · High
AtalantaDrawFrosinone
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
72%
BTTS
Yes
71%
Correct score
2-1
7%
HT/FT
1/1
29%
Double chance
1X
82%
Avg goals
3.1
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Atalanta or draw.
  • Recent form: Atalanta LLLWL, Frosinone WDWLW (oldest to newest).
  • Atalanta score 1.4 a game this season; Frosinone score 1.9.

Match preview

Atalanta host Frosinone in the Serie A (Regular Season - 8) on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at New Balance Arena.

Atalanta come into the game with a form of LLWW (newest first; 2 wins in their last 4).

This season Atalanta score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals a game; Frosinone score 1.9 and concede 1.3.

In their last 5 meetings, Atalanta won 3, Frosinone won 1 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 82% confidence, priced at 1.28.

Quick answers

Who will win Atalanta vs Frosinone?

Our model gives Atalanta 48%, the draw 34% and Frosinone 18%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (82% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 71% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 72% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Atalanta 2 - 1 Frosinone. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 82% confidence at odds of 1.28.

When is Atalanta vs Frosinone?

Kick-off is Sunday, 25 October 2026, 14:00 UTC at New Balance Arena. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 1'Romano Schmid
  2. 7'Gabriele Bracaglia
  3. Nikola KrstovićAssist: Charles De Ketelaere14'
  4. 17'Romano SchmidAssist: Farès Ghedjemis
  5. 28'Giorgi Kvernadze
  6. Raoul Bellanova ⇄ Lorenzo Bernasconi29'
  7. Charles De KetelaerePenalty confirmed29'
  8. Éderson José dos SantosPenalty33'
  9. Nikola KrstovićAssist: Davide Zappacosta45'
  10. 45'Gabriele Bracaglia ⇄ Aleksa Terzić
  11. 48'Giacomo CalòAssist: Farès Ghedjemis
  12. Elif ElmasAssist: Nikola Krstović50'
  13. Gianluca Gaetano ⇄ Mario Pašalić62'
  14. Jonathan Rowe ⇄ Nicola Zalewski62'
  15. 65'Giorgi Kvernadze ⇄ Alessio Zerbin
  16. 65'Patrizio Masini ⇄ Matteo Cichella
  17. Éderson José dos Santos69'
  18. 75'Giorgio Cittadini ⇄ Ilario Monterisi
  19. Nikola Krstović ⇄ Gianluca Scamacca77'
  20. Charles De Ketelaere ⇄ Lazar Samardzic77'
  21. 82'Aleksa TerzićAssist: Farès Ghedjemis
  22. 85'Aleksa Terzić
  23. 89'Anthony Oyono ⇄ Enzo Tchato
  24. 90+2'Antonio Raimondo

Match stats

AtalantaFrosinone
Possession
46%54%
Expected goals (xG)
3.891.81
Shots
2224
Shots on target
910
Corners
89
Fouls
713
Offsides
22
Yellow cards
14
Red cards
00
Saves
63
Passes
322370