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Serie A · Regular Season - 8
Inter
2 - 1Full time
Fiorentina
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza · Referee: Maurizio Mariani

Inter vs Fiorentina Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home Win
Odds1.36
57%
Confidence · Fair
InterDrawFiorentina
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS
Yes
56%
Correct score
2-0
8%
HT/FT
1/1
44%
Double chance
1X
88%
Avg goals
3.9
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Winner : Inter and +2.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Inter WWDWW, Fiorentina LWDLL (oldest to newest).
  • Inter score 3.0 a game this season; Fiorentina score 1.1.

Match preview

Inter host Fiorentina in the Serie A (Regular Season - 8) on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza.

This season Inter score 3.0 and concede 1.3 goals a game; Fiorentina score 1.1 and concede 2.4.

In their last 5 meetings, Inter won 3, Fiorentina won 1 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home Win with 57% confidence, priced at 1.36.

Quick answers

Who will win Inter vs Fiorentina?

Our model gives Inter 57%, the draw 31% and Fiorentina 12%. Our tip is Home Win (57% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 56% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 68% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Inter 2 - 0 Fiorentina. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 88% confidence at odds of 1.10.

When is Inter vs Fiorentina?

Kick-off is Sunday, 25 October 2026, 11:30 UTC at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 51'Marin Pongračić ⇄ Viery
  2. Pio Esposito ⇄ Ange-Yoan Bonny64'
  3. 65'Álex JiménezAssist: Nicolo Fagioli
  4. 70'Viery
  5. 75'Franco Mastantuono ⇄ Wilfried Gnonto
  6. 75'Álex Jiménez ⇄ Domilson Dodo
  7. Alessandro Bastoni ⇄ Federico Dimarco77'
  8. Hakan Çalhanoğlu ⇄ Piotr Zieliński78'
  9. Henrikh Mkhitaryan ⇄ Petar Sučić78'
  10. 83'Mateo Pellegrino ⇄ Beto
  11. 83'Alieu Njie ⇄ João Mário
  12. Nicolò Barella ⇄ Mattheo Lavelli85'
  13. Marcus ThuramAssist: Andy Diouf90+1'
  14. Piotr ZielińskiPenalty90+7'

Match stats

InterFiorentina
Possession
63%37%
Expected goals (xG)
3.440.25
Shots
337
Shots on target
112
Corners
61
Fouls
1314
Offsides
13
Yellow cards
01
Red cards
00
Saves
18
Passes
553336