Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M. Prediction, Odds & Tips
Home or Draw (1X)Odds1.18
Velez SarsfieldDrawGimnasia M.
50%36%14%
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Why we like it
- Model advice: Double chance : Velez Sarsfield or draw.
- Recent form: Velez Sarsfield WDWDL, Gimnasia M. DLDLW (oldest to newest).
- Velez Sarsfield score 1.2 a game this season; Gimnasia M. score 1.0.
Match preview
Velez Sarsfield host Gimnasia M. in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Clausura - 13) on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Jose Amalfitani.
This season Velez Sarsfield score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals a game; Gimnasia M. score 1.0 and concede 1.2.
In their last 1 meetings, Velez Sarsfield won 0, Gimnasia M. won 1 and 0 ended level.
Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 86% confidence, priced at 1.18.
Quick answers
Who will win Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M.?
Our model gives Velez Sarsfield 50%, the draw 36% and Gimnasia M. 14%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (86% confidence).
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 52% confidence.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 55% confidence.
What is the predicted correct score?
Our most likely score is Velez Sarsfield 1 - 0 Gimnasia M.. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.
What is the safest bet?
Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 86% confidence at odds of 1.18.
When is Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M.?
Kick-off is Saturday, 17 October 2026, 23:00 UTC at Jose Amalfitani. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.
Match events
- 10'Facundo LencioniGoal cancelledVAR
- Simón Escobar32'
- 45'Esteban Fernández ⇄ Nahuel Barboza⇄
- 58'Fermin Antonini
- Manuel Lanzini60'
- 70'Luciano César Cingolani ⇄ Blas Armoa Nunez⇄
- 70'Matías Vargas ⇄ Santiago Rodríguez⇄
- ⇄Juan Cruz Policella ⇄ Thiago Aguirre79'
- ⇄Simón Escobar ⇄ Diego Valdés79'
- 82'Luciano Paredes
- 82'Fermin Antonini ⇄ Martín Úbeda⇄
- ●Thiago SilveroAssist: Lucas Robertone85'
- 85'Cesar Rigamonti
- ⇄Manuel Lanzini ⇄ Claudio Baeza87'
- 88'Diego Mondino ⇄ I. Charparin⇄
- Thiago Aguirre90'
- Joaquin Garcia90+3'
- ⇄Ronaldo Martinez ⇄ Dilan Godoy90+4'
- ⇄Lucas Robertone ⇄ Luca Feler90+4'
Match stats
Velez SarsfieldGimnasia M.
Expected goals (xG)
1.550.75
Key stats
Per game, this seasonVelez SarsfieldGimnasia M.
Model comparison
PercentVelez SarsfieldGimnasia M.
Goals scored, last 5
7.03.0
Goals conceded, last 5
7.07.0
Goal forecast: Velez Sarsfield Under 2.5, Gimnasia M. Under 1.5Model verdict: Win or draw
Velez Sarsfield · last 1
0W 0D 1L12 OctALanus2-0L
Gimnasia M. · last 1
1W 0D 0L12 OctHNewells Old Boys1-0W
Head to head
Last 1Apr 2026Gimnasia M.3-2Velez Sarsfield
Best available odds
DecimalHT/FT
1/X15.00
1/241.00
X/29.50
X/X5.00
1/12.75
X/14.50
2/123.00
2/X17.00
2/28.00
Correct score
1-06.00
1-16.50
2-07.50
2-18.50
0-08.50
0-112.00
3-013.00
3-115.00
2-217.00
1-217.00
0-223.00
3-229.00
Highlighted = our pick. Odds change; check with the bookmaker before betting.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
Confirmed line-ups
ConfirmedVelez Sarsfield 4-2-3-1
1T. Marchiori
4J. García
32Thiago Silveor
16L. Magallán
3Elías Gómez
29R. Aliendro
8L. Robertone
37J. Policella
22M. Lanzini
18S. Escobar
77R. Martínez
Gimnasia M. 4-2-3-1
23C. Rigamonti
32L. Paredes
2D. Mondino
4E. Muñoz
3M. Recalde
21F. Antonini
30E. Fernández
7L. Cingolani
8M. Vargas
26F. Lencioni
9A. Módica
