Skip to content
Register
Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 14
Independiente
Boca Juniors
Libertadores de America · Referee: Nazareno Arasa

Independiente vs Boca Juniors Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds1.25
83%
Confidence · High
IndependienteDrawBoca Juniors
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
BTTS
No
56%
Correct score
1-1
12%
HT/FT
2/2
24%
Double chance
X2
83%
Avg goals
2.4
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : draw or Boca Juniors.
  • Recent form: Independiente DWLDD, Boca Juniors WWWDW (oldest to newest).
  • Independiente score 1.2 a game this season; Boca Juniors score 1.5.

Match preview

Independiente host Boca Juniors in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Clausura - 14) on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Libertadores de America.

Boca Juniors have WWL (newest first; 2 wins in their last 3).

This season Independiente score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals a game; Boca Juniors score 1.5 and concede 0.9.

In their last 5 meetings, Independiente won 1, Boca Juniors won 1 and 3 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 83% confidence, priced at 1.25.

Quick answers

Who will win Independiente vs Boca Juniors?

Our model gives Independiente 17%, the draw 38% and Boca Juniors 45%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (83% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 56% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 61% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Independiente 1 - 1 Boca Juniors. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 83% confidence at odds of 1.25.

When is Independiente vs Boca Juniors?

Kick-off is Sunday, 25 October 2026, 20:00 UTC at Libertadores de America. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
IndependienteBoca Juniors
Goals scored
1.21.5
Goals conceded
1.20.9
Clean sheets
30%43%

Model comparison

Percent
IndependienteBoca Juniors
Form
32%68%
Attack
29%71%
Defence
36%64%
Poisson model
36%64%
Head to head
50%50%
Goals
40%60%
Overall
37%63%
Form, last 5 games
40%87%
Goals scored, last 5
5.012.0
Goals conceded, last 5
7.04.0
Goal forecast: Independiente Under 2.5, Boca Juniors Under 3.5Model verdict: Win or draw

More from Liga Profesional Argentina

All ›
60'
Argentina: Liga Profesional ArgentinaAldosivi11 - 0Belgrano Cordoba0X21.2583%Argentina: Liga Profesional ArgentinaRiver PlatevsRacing Club1X1.1089%Argentina: Liga Profesional ArgentinaBarracas CentralvsEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto1X1.1088%Argentina: Liga Profesional ArgentinaCentral Cordoba de SantiagovsVelez SarsfieldX21.1884%