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La Liga · Regular Season - 10
Valencia
1 - 2Full time
Villarreal
Estadio de Mestalla · Referee: Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez

Valencia vs Villarreal Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds1.28
82%
Confidence · High
ValenciaDrawVillarreal
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS
Yes
58%
Correct score
1-1
11%
HT/FT
2/2
24%
Double chance
X2
82%
Avg goals
2.6
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : draw or Villarreal.
  • Recent form: Valencia LWLDD, Villarreal LWWLD (oldest to newest).
  • Valencia score 0.7 a game this season; Villarreal score 1.4.

Match preview

Valencia host Villarreal in the La Liga (Regular Season - 10) on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at Estadio de Mestalla.

Villarreal have LDW (newest first; 1 win in their last 3).

In their last 5 meetings, Valencia won 0, Villarreal won 3 and 2 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 82% confidence, priced at 1.28.

Quick answers

Who will win Valencia vs Villarreal?

Our model gives Valencia 18%, the draw 36% and Villarreal 46%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (82% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 58% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 55% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Valencia 1 - 1 Villarreal. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 82% confidence at odds of 1.28.

When is Valencia vs Villarreal?

Kick-off is Saturday, 24 October 2026, 16:30 UTC at Estadio de Mestalla. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. David Otorbi Ejededawe ⇄ Daniel Raba Antolín14'
  2. Daniel Raba Antolín34'
  3. Daniel Raba AntolínPenalty confirmed36'
  4. 37'Renato Veiga
  5. José Luis García VayáPenalty38'
  6. 43'Ayoze Pérez
  7. 59'Tajon Buchanan
  8. Pablo Maffeo60'
  9. Guido Rodríguez62'
  10. 65'Juan Foyth ⇄ Sergi Cardona Bermúdez
  11. 65'Ilias Akhomach Chakkour ⇄ Alberto Moleiro
  12. 66'Ayoze Pérez ⇄ Georges Mikautadze
  13. 69'Alex FreemanAssist: Sergi Cardona Bermúdez
  14. Daniel Raba Antolín ⇄ Arnau Martínez López70'
  15. Javi Guerra ⇄ Harvey Elliott70'
  16. Pablo Maffeo ⇄ Filip Ugrinic77'
  17. Justin De Haas ⇄ Hugo Duro77'
  18. 78'Pape GueyeCard upgrade confirmed
  19. 79'Pape Gueye
  20. 82'Gerard Moreno ⇄ Santi Comesaña
  21. 87'Tajon Buchanan ⇄ Pau Navarro
  22. Harvey Elliott89'
  23. Harvey Elliott89'
  24. 90+6'Georges MikautadzeAssist: Alberto Moleiro

Match stats

ValenciaVillarreal
Possession
38%62%
Expected goals (xG)
1.171.52
Shots
919
Shots on target
53
Corners
69
Fouls
189
Offsides
22
Yellow cards
33
Red cards
11
Saves
14
Passes
332538