Toluca vs Club Tijuana Prediction, Odds & Tips
Home or Draw (1X)Odds1.10
TolucaDrawClub Tijuana
57%32%12%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
67%
Why we like it
- Model advice: Double chance : Toluca or draw.
- Recent form: Toluca WLDLD, Club Tijuana LDLDD (oldest to newest).
- Toluca score 2.2 a game this season; Club Tijuana score 1.4.
Match preview
Toluca host Club Tijuana in the Liga MX (Apertura - 13) on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at Estadio Nemesio Diez.
This season Toluca score 2.2 and concede 1.3 goals a game; Club Tijuana score 1.4 and concede 1.3.
In their last 5 meetings, Toluca won 4, Club Tijuana won 0 and 1 ended level.
Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 88% confidence, priced at 1.10.
Quick answers
Who will win Toluca vs Club Tijuana?
Our model gives Toluca 57%, the draw 32% and Club Tijuana 12%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (88% confidence).
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 58% confidence.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 67% confidence.
What is the predicted correct score?
Our most likely score is Toluca 2 - 0 Club Tijuana. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.
What is the safest bet?
Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 88% confidence at odds of 1.10.
When is Toluca vs Club Tijuana?
Kick-off is Thursday, 22 October 2026, 01:00 UTC at Estadio Nemesio Diez. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.
Match events
- 38'Elias ManoelAssist: Yael Padilla●
- ⇄Jesús Angulo ⇄ Federico Viñas45'
- ⇄Diego Barbosa ⇄ Brian Garcia 45'
- 57'Elias Manoel ⇄ Mourad El Ghezouani⇄
- 57'Joban González Cera ⇄ Adonis Preciado⇄
- ●Federico ViñasAssist: Hélio Júnio Nunes de Castro61'
- ●Hélio Júnio Nunes de CastroAssist: Nicolás Castro65'
- 65'Sebastián Abreu
- 67'Angel Zapata ⇄ José Rivero⇄
- 75'Yael PadillaAssist: Rafael Fernández●
- 81'Ramiro Árciga ⇄ Jesus Gomez⇄
- 82'Yael Padilla ⇄ Francisco González⇄
- ⇄Nicolás Castro ⇄ Érick Gutiérrez82'
- ⇄Alexis Vega ⇄ Jorge Diaz83'
Match stats
TolucaClub Tijuana
Expected goals (xG)
2.241.44
Key stats
Per game, this seasonTolucaClub Tijuana
Model comparison
PercentTolucaClub Tijuana
Goals scored, last 5
9.05.0
Goals conceded, last 5
10.07.0
Goal forecast: Toluca Under 3.5, Club Tijuana Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw
Toluca · last 1
0W 1D 0L18 OctHAtletico San Luis1-1D
Club Tijuana · last 1
0W 1D 0L17 OctHPuebla0-0D
Head to head
Last 10Feb 2026Toluca1-0Club Tijuana
Oct 2025Club Tijuana0-0Toluca
Jan 2025Club Tijuana2-4Toluca
Sept 2024Toluca4-0Club Tijuana
Feb 2024Toluca2-0Club Tijuana
Sept 2023Club Tijuana2-1Toluca
Mar 2023Club Tijuana3-3Toluca
Aug 2022Toluca3-1Club Tijuana
Mar 2022Toluca1-2Club Tijuana
Aug 2021Club Tijuana0-2Toluca
Best available odds
DecimalHT/FT
1/X17.00
1/241.00
X/215.00
X/X8.50
1/12.00
X/14.50
2/117.00
2/X19.00
2/212.00
Correct score
2-08.50
2-19.00
3-010.00
3-110.00
1-110.00
1-011.00
4-015.00
2-215.00
4-117.00
3-219.00
0-021.00
1-221.00
Highlighted = our pick. Odds change; check with the bookmaker before betting.
Confirmed line-ups
ConfirmedToluca 4-2-3-1
22L. García
2D. Barbosa
6F. Pereira
25E. López
20J. Gallardo
5F. Romero
8N. Castro
11Helinho
10J. Angulo
9A. Vega
26Paulinho
Club Tijuana 4-1-4-1
2A. Rodríguez
3R. Fernández
12J. Porozo
4Unai Bilbao
33P. Ortíz
20Á. Zapata
17R. Árciga
34F. Boya
31Y. Padilla
202J. González
13Elias Manoel
