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Liga MX · Apertura - 14
Atlas
Puebla
Estadio Jalisco

Atlas vs Puebla Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.17
86%
Confidence · High
AtlasDrawPuebla
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS
Yes
52%
Correct score
1-0
10%
HT/FT
1/1
32%
Double chance
1X
86%
Avg goals
2.9
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Atlas or draw.
  • Recent form: Atlas DWDWL, Puebla DLDDL (oldest to newest).
  • Atlas score 1.6 a game this season; Puebla score 1.0.

Match preview

Atlas host Puebla in the Liga MX (Apertura - 14) on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Estadio Jalisco.

This season Atlas score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals a game; Puebla score 1.0 and concede 1.3.

In their last 5 meetings, Atlas won 4, Puebla won 1 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 86% confidence, priced at 1.17.

Quick answers

Who will win Atlas vs Puebla?

Our model gives Atlas 52%, the draw 34% and Puebla 14%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (86% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 52% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 53% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Atlas 1 - 0 Puebla. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 86% confidence at odds of 1.17.

When is Atlas vs Puebla?

Kick-off is Sunday, 25 October 2026, 23:00 UTC at Estadio Jalisco. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
AtlasPuebla
Goals scored
1.61.0
Goals conceded
1.81.3
Clean sheets
23%23%

Model comparison

Percent
AtlasPuebla
Form
73%27%
Attack
75%25%
Defence
44%56%
Poisson model
38%62%
Head to head
80%20%
Goals
57%43%
Overall
61%39%
Form, last 5 games
53%20%
Goals scored, last 5
9.03.0
Goals conceded, last 5
9.07.0
Goal forecast: Atlas Under 2.5, Puebla Under 1.5Model verdict: Win or draw